Note: I've to leave early today, hence this shorter analysis. Normal service
will be resumed tomorrow.

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon (GMT) on Sunday. Issued
0533, 4th February 2009.

The end of the weekend will see unsettled weather across the UK, with plenty
of rain for England and Wales. Further north and over the highest ground in
England and Wales the rain is likely to fall as snow., at least for a time.

ECMWF: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...mwf/ecmwf.html
A trough lies to the west, with southerlies across the UK. Day 6 sees the
trough move eastwards, with WSW'lies following behind. On day 7 a deep low
covers the English Channel, with strong easterlies and NE'lies across the
UK.

MetO: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...ukmo/pslv.html
MetO shows SW'lies for all with a low to the NW. On day 6 the low crosses
England, with northerlies in its wake.

GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
SW'lies cover the UK, with low pressuree to the NW. A low moves eastwards
over France on day 6, leaving the UK under a col. On day 7 NW'lies cover the
UK, ahead of a ridge to the west.

GEM: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da.../gem/pslv.html
The Canadian run shows a secondary low over Northern Ireland, with a cold
col for Scotland and a trough over England and Wales. Ahead of the trough
winds are southerlies, with westerlies following behind.

JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese model shows a similar setup to GEM, with southerlies over much
of England and Wales and light winds elsewhere.