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Old February 8th 09, 05:41 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (8/02/09)

Note: I've to leave early today, hence this shorter analysis. Normal service
will be resumed tomorrow.

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon (GMT) on Thursday.
Issued 0538, 8th February 2009.

Towards the end of next week high pressure will be close to the UK, although
the models differ regarding its position and alignment. GFS and ECM keep the
bulk of the high to the west, leading to northerlies and widespread frosts.
MetO shows the high staying further SE instead, which allows a low to move
SE'wards by Friday.

ECMWF: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...mwf/ecmwf.html
High pressure covers Ireland, bringing NNW'lies across the UK. Northerlies
affect the UK on dayy 6 as the high builds to the north, followed by further
northerlies on day 7.

MetO: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...ukmo/pslv.html
MetO shows a weak ridge over the UK with light WNW'lies for England and
Wales, light SW'lies for Northern Ireland and a col over Scotland. A shallow
low moves SE'wards over the UK on day 6.

GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
As per ECM, GFS shows a high to the west and NNW'lies over the UK. NNW'lies
persist on day 6 and on day 7 a ridge brings light winds to all areas except
NW Scotland and Northern Ireland, which lie under SSW'lies.

GEM: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da.../gem/pslv.html
The Canadian run shows westerlies for all with a low to the NE and a large
high to the south.

JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese model shows a ridge over the UK with westerlies for eastern
areas and SSW'lies in western areas.


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