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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Note: I've to leave early today, hence this shorter analysis. Normal service
will be resumed tomorrow. Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon (GMT) on Monday. Issued 0520, 19th February 2009. Early next week will see the Azores High affecting the UK, bringing largely dry but probably cloudy conditions to much of England and Wales, with drizzle or rain likely further north. Temperatures will be at or above average generally, although patchy frost is possible should skies clear under the ridge. ECMWF: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...mwf/ecmwf.html ECM has WNW'lies with a ridge to the west and a low over southern Sweden. Winds become westerlies on day 6 as the ridge declines and moves eastwards. On day 7 NW'lies and WNW'lies cover the UK as pressure builds to the west. MetO: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...ukmo/pslv.html The Met Office model shows westerlies for all with the UK under a ridge. On day 6 SW'lies affect the UK as low pressure deepens to the north. GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm A ridge covers the UK, with light winds for all. The ridge becomes a high over the Channel on day 6, leading to WSW'lies for the UK. WSW'lies persist on day 7 as the high moves eastwards. GEM: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da.../gem/pslv.html The Canadian run shows WNW'lies with a ridge to the west. JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif The Japanese model shows the same setup as GEM, with WNW'lies for all. |
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