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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon (GMT) on Friday. Issued
0502z, 6th July 2009. The weekend looks like seeing a strong southerly jet and low pressure close to the UK. Showers are likely almost anywhere, there'll be a westerly or NW'ly breeze for most and temperatures will be at or below average. ECMWF: http://www.wzkarten.de/pics/Recm1201.gif The European model brings a NW'ly or WNW'ly flow across the UK, with complex low pressure to the NE and ridges to the NW and SW. Day 6 sees a weak low cross the Irish Sea, resulting in easterlies for Scotland and Northern Ireland, with SW'lies and SSW'lies for England and Wales. The low deepens and moves eastwards on day 7, driven by a strong southerly jet. A weak trough covers the UK, with WNW'lies and NW'lies. MetO: http://www.wzkarten.de/pics/Rukm1201.gif The UK lies under westerlies, brought about by a ridge to the SW and a low to the NE. A trough covers Scotland on day 6, with easterlies for Scotland and Northern Ireland. Elsewhere, winds are moderate SW'lies. GFS: http://www.wzkarten.de/pics/Rtavn1201.png Light winds cover the UK due to a col. On day 6 a weak trough brings NW'lies and WNW'lies, followed by light winds on day 7 from a another col. GEM: http://www.wzkarten.de/pics/Rgem1201.gif The Canadian run brings a trough across the Scottish borders, with northerlies to the north and SW'lies elsewhere. JMA: http://www.wzkarten.de/pics/Rjma1201.gif The Japanese run shows a ridge over Ireland and NW'lies for the UK. |
#2
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On Jul 6, 6:03 am, "Darren Prescott" wrote:
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon (GMT) on Friday. Issued 0502z, 6th July 2009. The weekend looks like seeing a strong southerly jet and low pressure close to the UK. Showers are likely almost anywhere, there'll be a westerly or NW'ly breeze for most and temperatures will be at or below average. Not again! Luckily I'm out of the country for a couple of weeks though I do hope we don't get yet another 2007/08 style summer. The next two weeks look very iffy so August will probably have to be notably good for the long term forecast to be realised. Nick |
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