uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

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Old August 21st 09, 11:31 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default "Bill" and the UK

Looks like the usual build of high pressure over the greater part of the
south next week as ex-Bill heads off towards the Norwegian Sea.

--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net

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Old August 22nd 09, 05:20 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default "Bill" and the UK

"Keith(Southend)" wrote in message
...
Looks like the usual build of high pressure over the greater part of the
south next week as ex-Bill heads off towards the Norwegian Sea.

--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net


I notice a little excitement from our buddy across the bond, Joe B., about
the path of Hurricane Bill toward Europe or extratropical Bill as it will be
when it gets here.

The latest NOAA forecast path takes it over Northern Ireland / Scotland at
the moment.

Links:
Joe's commentary
http://www.accuweather.com/ukie/bast...er=accuweather

NOAA projected path 5-days
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphi...14W5_NL_sm.gif


Joe



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The message was checked by ESET Smart Security.

part000.txt - is OK

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Old August 22nd 09, 05:35 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default "Bill" and the UK

JCW wrote:
"Keith(Southend)" wrote in message
...
Looks like the usual build of high pressure over the greater part of the
south next week as ex-Bill heads off towards the Norwegian Sea.

--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net


I notice a little excitement from our buddy across the bond, Joe B., about
the path of Hurricane Bill toward Europe or extratropical Bill as it will be
when it gets here.

The latest NOAA forecast path takes it over Northern Ireland / Scotland at
the moment.

Links:
Joe's commentary
http://www.accuweather.com/ukie/bast...er=accuweather

NOAA projected path 5-days
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphi...14W5_NL_sm.gif


Joe



__________ Information from ESET Smart Security, version of virus signature database 4358 (20090822) __________

The message was checked by ESET Smart Security.

part000.txt - is OK

http://www.eset.com





I quite like this link for the storm tracking:

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

As you say, they want to bring it further south, but the usual path is
further north with balmy high pressure conditions over much of the south
of the UK. Be interesting to see how this one develops.

--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net
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Old August 23rd 09, 09:36 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default "Bill" and the UK

On 22 Aug, 17:35, "Keith(Southend)" wrote:
JCW wrote:
"Keith(Southend)" wrote in message
...
Looks like the usual build of high pressure over the greater part of the
south next week as ex-Bill heads off towards the Norwegian Sea.


--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net


I notice a little excitement from our buddy across the bond, Joe B., about
the path of Hurricane Bill toward Europe or extratropical Bill as it will be
when it gets here.


The latest NOAA forecast path takes it over Northern Ireland / Scotland at
the moment.


Links:
Joe's commentary
http://www.accuweather.com/ukie/bast...p?partner=accu....


NOAA projected path 5-days
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphi...309W5_NL_sm2+g...


Joe


__________ Information from ESET Smart Security, version of virus signature database 4358 (20090822) __________


The message was checked by ESET Smart Security.


* * part000.txt - is OK


http://www.eset.com


I quite like this link for the storm tracking:

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

As you say, they want to bring it further south, but the usual path is
further north with balmy high pressure conditions over much of the south
of the UK. Be interesting to see how this one develops.




And we all know that the south of the UK is the only area that
matters
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Old August 23rd 09, 10:03 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default "Bill" and the UK


"sutartsorric" wrote in message
...
On 22 Aug, 17:35, "Keith(Southend)" wrote:
JCW wrote:
"Keith(Southend)" wrote in message
...
Looks like the usual build of high pressure over the greater part of
the
south next week as ex-Bill heads off towards the Norwegian Sea.


--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net


I notice a little excitement from our buddy across the bond, Joe B.,
about
the path of Hurricane Bill toward Europe or extratropical Bill as it
will be
when it gets here.


The latest NOAA forecast path takes it over Northern Ireland / Scotland
at
the moment.


Links:
Joe's commentary
http://www.accuweather.com/ukie/bast...p?partner=accu...


NOAA projected path 5-days
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphi...309W5_NL_sm2+g...


Joe


__________ Information from ESET Smart Security, version of virus
signature database 4358 (20090822) __________


The message was checked by ESET Smart Security.


part000.txt - is OK


http://www.eset.com


I quite like this link for the storm tracking:

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

As you say, they want to bring it further south, but the usual path is
further north with balmy high pressure conditions over much of the south
of the UK. Be interesting to see how this one develops.




And we all know that the south of the UK is the only area that
matters
====

No the only area that matters is SW England (centre of the universe)! :-)

Seriously, it is interesting how the MetO forecasters want to track it along
50N and then turn it into Ireland. And why not?! These ex-tropical storms
can be thought of as blobs of very warm and wet air moving in a fast
current. They will never behave like normal baroclinic waves as their
structure is different. When the rain arrives over the whole of the UK it
will come down in torrents and that will be the main feature. Not good news
for poor old rain-battered NW Scotland and Northern Ireland.

Batten down those hatches, there's a hurricane on the way :-)

M.Fish
--





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Old August 23rd 09, 10:55 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default "Bill" and the UK

Will Hand wrote:

Batten down those hatches, there's a hurricane on the way :-)

M.Fish
--



Dangerous words Will, you know a certain paper may quote you on this one ;-)

--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net
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Old August 23rd 09, 03:20 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default "Bill" and the UK

On Aug 23, 10:03*am, "Will Hand" wrote:
"sutartsorric" wrote in message

...
On 22 Aug, 17:35, "Keith(Southend)" wrote:





JCW wrote:
"Keith(Southend)" wrote in message
...
Looks like the usual build of high pressure over the greater part of
the
south next week as ex-Bill heads off towards the Norwegian Sea.


--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net


I notice a little excitement from our buddy across the bond, Joe B.,
about
the path of Hurricane Bill toward Europe or extratropical Bill as it
will be
when it gets here.


The latest NOAA forecast path takes it over Northern Ireland / Scotland
at
the moment.


Links:
Joe's commentary
http://www.accuweather.com/ukie/bast...p?partner=accu...


NOAA projected path 5-days
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphi...309W5_NL_sm2+g....


Joe


__________ Information from ESET Smart Security, version of virus
signature database 4358 (20090822) __________


The message was checked by ESET Smart Security.


part000.txt - is OK


http://www.eset.com


I quite like this link for the storm tracking:


http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html


As you say, they want to bring it further south, but the usual path is
further north with balmy high pressure conditions over much of the south
of the UK. Be interesting to see how this one develops.


And we all know that the south of the UK is the only area that
matters
====

No the only area that matters is SW England (centre of the universe)! :-)

Seriously, it is interesting how the MetO forecasters want to track it along
50N and then turn it into Ireland. And why not?! These ex-tropical storms
can be thought of as blobs of very warm and wet air moving in a fast
current. They will never behave like normal baroclinic waves as their
structure is different. When the rain arrives over the whole of the UK it
will come down in torrents and that will be the main feature. Not good news
for poor old rain-battered NW Scotland and Northern Ireland.

Batten down those hatches, there's a hurricane on the way :-)

M.Fish
--- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


I always thought the centre of the Universe was located at NE1
4ST. Oh well.
I agree with the rest of your posting and that there'll be a lot of
widespread heavy rain though it's difficult to see us getting much
down here if the forecast track is right.

Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, Surrey.

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Old August 23rd 09, 05:15 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default "Bill" and the UK

"Tudor Hughes" wrote in message
...
On Aug 23, 10:03 am, "Will Hand" wrote:
"sutartsorric" wrote in message

I always thought the centre of the Universe was located at NE1
4ST. Oh well.
I agree with the rest of your posting and that there'll be a lot of
widespread heavy rain though it's difficult to see us getting much
down here if the forecast track is right.


I was listening to John Eagleton's (Irish Met Office) week ahead forecast on
TV this morning; John is a very respected forecasters in my opinion. John
went on to say that hurricane Bill, as a weakening and extratropical
feature, was on the way.

However, while a one in twenty year significant event could happen, he
thought this unlikely and further added that he thought it wouldn't bring
all that much more rain than we were having now. Most rain likely to fall in
the West and North. There was the risk that the feature might re-intensify
as it got closer to out shores like some systems before but he seemed to
think this wouldn't happen on this occasion.

Joe



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The message was checked by ESET Smart Security.

part000.txt - is OK

http://www.eset.com




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Old August 23rd 09, 05:36 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default "Bill" and the UK



* * *I always thought the centre of the Universe was located at NE1
4ST. *

Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, Surrey


Just checked the post code on Google Earth!

Graham
Penzance
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Old August 23rd 09, 07:06 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default "Bill" and the UK

However, while a one in twenty year significant event could happen, he
thought this unlikely and further added that he thought it wouldn't bring
all that much more rain than we were having now.


We usually get some excitement from the projected path from an old TC
though I am not sure it happened last year.
Is it really a one in twenty event: presumably this is based on
Charlie ?
It has been a glorious day up here in Bedford - went for a drive up to
the Fens and there was a stiff but warm breeze

R in Bedford


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