uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1   Report Post  
Old September 3rd 03, 10:37 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2003
Posts: 130
Default Forecasting Minima

The message
from "martin rowley" contains these words:


"Paul Hyett" wrote in message
...
In weather like this it must be a thankless task.

Depending on whether cloud clears or stays, you can easily be

7°C or
more out, not to mention locations only a few miles apart can

differ by
that amount!


... tell me about it! I was not long into forecasting .. my first
such post in fact, (at RAF Bawtry in 1979, then a Main Met.
Office/No.1 Group), but in fact a large part of the work was for
non-military users (before the advent of the now-closed Leeds
WC).


The reference station for the 'Gas curve' (the temperature
forecasts sent to the local gas control room to forecast demand)
was Finningley, not far up the road (station 03360/EGXI ... soon
to be resurrected I understand!). The forecast and actual plot of
temperature was maintained (as on many stations at the time), on
a large Perspex board underneath where the forecaster worked.


My forecast for one particular early summer night was something
like a minimum of + 12degC, with the curve gently dropping to
that value through the night. I came in next morning and my heart
sank when I saw the chinagraph trace had 'nose-dived' well below
my poor efforts, and IIRC, the total error by the end of the
night was something like 7 degC!


Down to cloud cover of course ... I wasn't allowed to forget
that:


Oh, my next posting ... to the aforesaid RAF Finningley!


Martin.


Give the place my regards - started there with the MetO as an Assistant
back in 1958!!

Dave
Fair Isle




Reply
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules

Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Mild September minima - Solent MRSC 15.5°C on Tuesday night Colin Youngs uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 1 September 28th 06 03:16 PM
Low minima in Scotland Colin Youngs uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 4 December 19th 04 07:53 PM
Night minima - Tilehurst Eric Belton uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 6 May 20th 04 07:23 AM
Grass minima Paul Hyett uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 2 September 1st 03 02:42 PM
Lower minima? Paul Hyett uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 0 August 17th 03 07:33 AM


All times are GMT. The time now is 04:27 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright ©2004-2025 Weather Banter.
The comments are property of their posters.
 

About Us

"It's about Weather"

 

Copyright © 2017