uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

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Old October 26th 09, 03:58 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Untypically inaccurate forecast

When the forecast goes wrong as badly as it has today, Monday 26th
October, I realise just how good they are normally. Today having been
promised sun, I looked forward to some enjoyable gardening. Sure it
didn’t rain, but it was unremittingly cloudy and judging by the light
levels, that cloud wasn’t thin. It was a rare bad forecast, so
unusual in fact that I am moved to comment on it.

The change to GMT must be to blame:-)

Jack in south Cambridgeshire

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Old October 26th 09, 04:44 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Untypically inaccurate forecast

On Oct 26, 3:58*pm, "Jack )"
wrote:
When the forecast goes wrong as badly as it has today, Monday 26th
October, I realise just how good they are normally. *Today having been
promised sun, I looked forward to some enjoyable gardening. *Sure it
didn’t rain, but it was unremittingly cloudy and judging by the light
levels, that cloud wasn’t thin. *It was a *rare bad forecast, so
unusual in fact that I am moved to comment on it.

The change to GMT must be to blame:-)

Jack in south Cambridgeshire


Well it's certainly to blame for the current gloominess :-)

Not actually bad in Southampton for most of the day, sunny until about
3pm, and warm enough to have lunch outside - at lunchtime one could
almost forget we were on Winter Time.

Nick
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Old October 26th 09, 06:04 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Untypically inaccurate forecast

In article
,
"Jack )" writes:
When the forecast goes wrong as badly as it has today, Monday 26th
October, I realise just how good they are normally. Today having been
promised sun, I looked forward to some enjoyable gardening. Sure it
didn’t rain, but it was unremittingly cloudy and judging by the light
levels, that cloud wasn’t thin. It was a rare bad forecast, so
unusual in fact that I am moved to comment on it.

The change to GMT must be to blame:-)

Jack in south Cambridgeshire


Bad luck. It was a beautiful day in my part of Surrey.
--
John Hall "Do you have cornflakes in America?"
"Well, actually, they're American."
"So what brings you to Britain then if you have cornflakes already?"
Bill Bryson: "Notes from a Small Island"
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Old October 28th 09, 01:56 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Untypically inaccurate forecast

On Oct 26, 6:04*pm, John Hall wrote:
In article
,
*"Jack )" writes:

When the forecast goes wrong as badly as it has today, Monday 26th
October, I realise just how good they are normally. *Today having been
promised sun, I looked forward to some enjoyable gardening. *Sure it
didn’t rain, but it was unremittingly cloudy and judging by the light
levels, that cloud wasn’t thin. *It was a *rare bad forecast, so
unusual in fact that I am moved to comment on it.


The change to GMT must be to blame:-)


Jack in south Cambridgeshire


Bad luck. It was a beautiful day in my part of Surrey.


It made me sick if this is the same date it's probably why. 2 :14 am
Sunday or Monday morning going on 8 am BST. So that would be 7
am~ish..
(I forget. Got it writed down on a piece of paper that a kind man
gaved me, though.)
mag 6.9 2009/10/24 14:40:44 -6.136 130.384 134.2 BANDA SEA

I was expecting worse, not that I have followed any of it lately. Just
an ill at ease feeling.
(AKA the usual crap.)

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Old October 30th 09, 10:21 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Untypically inaccurate forecast

----- Original Message -----
From:
Newsgroups: uk.sci.weather
Sent: Monday, October 26, 2009 3:58 PM
Subject: Untypically inaccurate forecast


When the forecast goes wrong as badly as it has today, Monday 26th
October, I realise just how good they are normally. Today having been
promised sun, I looked forward to some enjoyable gardening. Sure it
didn’t rain, but it was unremittingly cloudy and judging by the light
levels, that cloud wasn’t thin. It was a rare bad forecast, so
unusual in fact that I am moved to comment on it.

The change to GMT must be to blame:-)

Jack in south Cambridgeshire


I think you make a very good point here, Jack. For the most part we've
become increasingly accustomed to very accurate forecasts in the 1 to 2 day
range. So much so that it's now quite rare for something to occur that is
totally unexpected, at least from a personal perspective. The last really
notable event that came as a complete surprise to me (observed from a
distance) was the Ottery St. Mary storm last October.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/...sting/oct2008/

It will be interesting to see how the very high resolution models (~1.5km),
now being used routinely, handle similar events in the future.

Jon.



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