I suspect the last week of November will turn chilly, but if it doesn't
it certainly could be one of the warmest recorded. Including today
(15th), I am currently 2.1°C above the average and with temperatures
forcast at 15°C+ for at least 3 days this week, it should continue to
climb. My November max to beat is 18.5°C from 8th November 1978. Now
that would be an interesting thought, given the winter of 1979 ;-)
My warmest mean max year with 13.0°C was 1994, I'm currently 12.2°C

Also it's been particularly wet for my neck of the woods with 37.6mm in
the last 3 days, in fact I was quite surprised to hear the rain in the
early hours of today (Sunday) (11.2mm)(Shoeburyness only 5.4mm). Monthly
total currently standing at 71.0mm (2.80") (131%). My wettest November
was 2002 with 99.0mm, so it is possible this maybe beaten, as long as
Dawlish's European High holds off grin

Sunshine also creeping up with 74% already recorded for the month (54.05
hours).

Interesting times again.
--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net

"Keith(Southend)" wrote ...
I suspect the last week of November will turn chilly, but if it
doesn't it certainly could be one of the warmest recorded. Including
today (15th), I am currently 2.1°C above the average and with
temperatures forcast at 15°C+ for at least 3 days this week, it
should continue to climb. My November max to beat is 18.5°C from 8th
November 1978. Now that would be an interesting thought, given the
winter of 1979 ;-)
My warmest mean max year with 13.0°C was 1994, I'm currently 12.2°C

snip

.... similar here Keith (East Dorset); based on Hurn, we're running ~2C
above the 1971-2000 average. Ensembles keep us above-average until
roughly the 22nd, then relax to the mean for most of the month
thereafter, perhaps dipping below during the last few days.

We only need to go back to 2002 for a warmer November, but in the Hurn
record (since the mid-1950s), then 1994 is the one to beat (both using
mean 24hr temperatures).

Martin.


--
Martin Rowley
West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl
Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W
NGR: SU 082 023

On Nov 15, 7:19*pm, "Keith(Southend)"
wrote:
I suspect the last week of November will turn chilly, but if it doesn't
it certainly could be one of the warmest recorded. Including today
(15th), I am currently 2.1°C above the average and with temperatures
forcast at 15°C+ for at least 3 days this week, it should continue to
climb. My November max to beat is 18.5°C from 8th November 1978. Now
that would be an interesting thought, given the winter of 1979 ;-)
My warmest mean max year with 13.0°C was 1994, I'm currently 12.2°C

Also it's been particularly wet for my neck of the woods with 37.6mm in
the last 3 days, in fact I was quite surprised to hear the rain in the
early hours of today (Sunday) (11.2mm)(Shoeburyness only 5.4mm). Monthly
total currently standing at 71.0mm (2.80") (131%). My wettest November
was 2002 with 99.0mm, so it is possible this maybe beaten, as long as
Dawlish's European High holds off grin

Sunshine also creeping up with 74% already recorded for the month (54.05
hours).

Interesting times again.
--
Keith (Southend)http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net

"Wet " must depend on what one regards as normal. The total here
for the three days of this cyclonic event was 67.2 mm. The November
average is 86 mm and the wettest 2002 with 170 mm. There was 162 mm
in November 2000. This place is surprisingly wet, with an annual mean
of 815-820 mm.

Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, NE Surrey, 556 ft.

* "Wet " must depend on what one regards as normal. *

That is the whole problem with climate change. Anything can be
described as normal, and then climate change is not happening.

But even when climate change is accepted then the rate can be
dismissed as an anomaly.

Perhaps I am preaching to the converted, but I suspect that most
people are not aware of how Chaotic weather and climate are, and so
use the the trends which support their preconceived views to justify
their position, and ignore the trends which contradict them.

Cheers, Alastair.

PS "trends" is perhaps not the correct word to use in that context,
but it is all that I can think of at present.