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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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Given all the interest at the moment in the extended range models, you
might be interested to know that you can get 'two for the price of one' as regards the GFS package. Currently, NCEP/EMC are running a parallel GFS suite, with upgraded data assimilation & some other tweaks, and you can view these runs (about 90 mins after the current version) via:- http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php this link presents the current operational GFS model, or select [ Run parallèle ] from the menu at the top for the parallel output. They're also beginning to appear on the plumes ... this is for a point in the London area .... http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/g...=1&x=305&y=143 Apparently the new GFS formulation will be declared the operational model sometime in January. Martin. -- Martin Rowley West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W NGR: SU 082 023 |
#2
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![]() "Martin Rowley" wrote in message ... Given all the interest at the moment in the extended range models, you might be interested to know that you can get 'two for the price of one' as regards the GFS package. Currently, NCEP/EMC are running a parallel GFS suite, with upgraded data assimilation & some other tweaks, and you can view these runs (about 90 mins after the current version) via:- http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php this link presents the current operational GFS model, or select [ Run parallèle ] from the menu at the top for the parallel output. They're also beginning to appear on the plumes ... this is for a point in the London area .... http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/g...=1&x=305&y=143 Apparently the new GFS formulation will be declared the operational model sometime in January. Martin. Thanks Martin, they will be most interesting. Yet more stuff to look at :-) Will -- |
#3
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In message , Martin Rowley
writes Given all the interest at the moment in the extended range models, you might be interested to know that you can get 'two for the price of one' as regards the GFS package. Currently, NCEP/EMC are running a parallel GFS suite, with upgraded data assimilation & some other tweaks, and you can view these runs (about 90 mins after the current version) via:- http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php this link presents the current operational GFS model, or select [ Run parallèle ] from the menu at the top for the parallel output. That's a very nice page - thanks. They're also beginning to appear on the plumes ... this is for a point in the London area .... http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/g...=1&x=305&y=143 Apparently the new GFS formulation will be declared the operational model sometime in January. Martin. -- James Brown |
#4
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"Martin Rowley" wrote in message
... Given all the interest at the moment in the extended range models, you might be interested to know that you can get 'two for the price of one' as regards the GFS package. Currently, NCEP/EMC are running a parallel GFS suite, with upgraded data assimilation & some other tweaks, and you can view these runs (about 90 mins after the current version) via:- http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php this link presents the current operational GFS model, or select [ Run parallèle ] from the menu at the top for the parallel output. Well, I've been looking at it from time to time and comparing it to the Op run, it's interesting stuff. Any conclusions thus far, Martin (or anyone else) ? Jon. |
#5
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"Martin Rowley" wrote in message
... Given all the interest at the moment in the extended range models, you might be interested to know that you can get 'two for the price of one' as regards the GFS package. Currently, NCEP/EMC are running a parallel GFS suite, with upgraded data assimilation & some other tweaks, and you can view these runs (about 90 mins after the current version) via:- http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php this link presents the current operational GFS model, or select [ Run parallèle ] from the menu at the top for the parallel output. They're also beginning to appear on the plumes ... this is for a point in the London area .... http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/g...=1&x=305&y=143 Apparently the new GFS formulation will be declared the operational model sometime in January. Martin. Notice that Meteociel states that the parallel suite replaced the operational GFS output 2 days ago. Jon. |
#6
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"Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message
Notice that Meteociel states that the parallel suite replaced the operational GFS output 2 days ago. .... perhaps the US thought some over here would overdose of two models :-0 Martin. -- Martin Rowley West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W NGR: SU 082 023 |
#7
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"Martin Rowley" wrote in message
... "Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message Notice that Meteociel states that the parallel suite replaced the operational GFS output 2 days ago. ... perhaps the US thought some over here would overdose of two models :-0 Martin. Possibly ! I've been comparing it to the previous model over the last few weeks and I was beginning to think that the new formulation was perhaps more stable and less prone to 'flip-flopping' but I'm far from certain. Jon. |
#8
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"Jon O'Rourke"
Notice that Meteociel states that the parallel suite replaced the operational GFS output 2 days ago. .... It looks as if 15th December was *always* the date intended for change-over, so the Meteociel notice was in error:- http://www.weather.gov/os/notificati...fs_changes.txt From that, extracts .... EFFECTIVE DECEMBER 15 2009...BEGINNING WITH THE 1200 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME /UTC/ RUN...THE NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION /NCEP/ WILL UPGRADE SEVERAL COMPONENTS OF THE GLOBAL FORECAST SYSTEM /GFS/. NEW DATA SOURCES AND IMPROVED NUMERICAL TECHNIQUES WILL BE INCLUDED IN THE GRIDPOINT STATISTICAL INTERPOLATION /GSI/ ANALYSIS. THE POST PROCESSORS USED FOR THE GLOBAL FORECAST SYSTEM /GFS/ AND THE GLOBAL DATA ASSIMILATION SYSTEM /GDAS/ WILL BE UNIFIED AND TWO MINOR CHANGES WILL BE INTRODUCED INTO THE GLOBAL FORECAST MODEL. UNIFICATION OF THE POST PROCESSING CODES WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY LESS SMOOTH FIELDS IN THE GDAS. IN ADDITION THE ACCURACY IN THE FORMULATION OF A NUMBER OF DIAGNOSTIC VARIABLES WILL BE IMPROVED AND ADDITIONAL PARAMETERS WILL BE ADDED TO THE MODEL OUTPUT FILES. THE ANALYSIS CHANGES INCLUDE: -ASSIMILATING TROPICAL STORM PSEUDO SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE OBSERVATIONS -ASSIMILATING NOAA-19 HIRS/4 AND AMSU-A BRIGHTNESS TEMPERATURE OBSERVATIONS -ASSIMILATING RARS 1B DATA -ASSIMILATING NOAA-18 SBUV/2 AND AURA OMI OZONE OBSERVATIONS. MONITOR NOAA-19 AND METOP-2 GOME OZONE OBSERVATIONS -ASSIMILATING EUMETSAT-9 ATMOSPHERIC MOTION VECTORS -USING UNIFORM THINNING MESH FOR BRIGHTNESS TEMPERATURE DATA -IMPROVING ASSIMILATION OF GPS RADIAL OCCULTATION /RO/ DATA /QC... RE-TUNED OBSERVATION ERRORS/ -ADDING DRY MASS PRESSURE CONSTRAINT -USING GODDARD MODELING AND ASSIMILATION OFFICE/EMC MERGED CODE INCLUDING HOOKS FOR 4DVAR AND OBSERVATION SENSITIVITY -UPDATING BACKGROUND ERROR COVARIANCE FILE THE PARAMETERS WITH IMPROVED FORMULATIONS IN THE POST PROCESSOR INCLUDE: -VORTICITY -ISENTROPIC POTENTIAL VORTICITY /IPV/ -DYNAMIC TROPOPAUSE FIELDS -PLANETARY BOUNDARY LAYER /PBL/ MEAN RH -BEST CAPE/CIN -BEST LIFTED INDEX -LFM 0.33-1.00 RH THE NEW PARAMETERS FOR THE GDAS INCLUDE: -UNFILTERED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE -- Martin Rowley West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W NGR: SU 082 023 |
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