On Tue, 29 Dec 2009 14:46:13 -0000, GKN wrote in


Keith.
Just checked on the Met office fax charts, the 528 line is over France on
2nd Jan. Probably back over Scotland on the next run.

You can really ignore the 528 line in situations like we're in now. I'd
hazard a guess that historically some of the worst snowfalls in southern
counties have occurred when that line is well to the north. What matters
is the lowest km or even less, not the entire 5km that is occupied by that
thickness.

--
Mike Tullett - Coleraine 55.13°N 6.69°W posted 12/29/2009 3:06:23 PM GMT

Thanks for that Mike, I just thought that was the best chance, so I am more
optimistic now.

Regards. Len.
"Mike Tullett" wrote in message
...
On Tue, 29 Dec 2009 14:46:13 -0000, GKN wrote in


Keith.
Just checked on the Met office fax charts, the 528 line is over France on
2nd Jan. Probably back over Scotland on the next run.

You can really ignore the 528 line in situations like we're in now. I'd
hazard a guess that historically some of the worst snowfalls in southern
counties have occurred when that line is well to the north. What matters
is the lowest km or even less, not the entire 5km that is occupied by that
thickness.

--
Mike Tullett - Coleraine 55.13°N 6.69°W posted 12/29/2009 3:06:23 PM GMT

GKN wrote:
Thanks for that Mike, I just thought that was the best chance, so I am
more optimistic now.

Regards. Len.
"Mike Tullett" wrote in message
...
On Tue, 29 Dec 2009 14:46:13 -0000, GKN wrote in


Keith.
Just checked on the Met office fax charts, the 528 line is over
France on
2nd Jan. Probably back over Scotland on the next run.

You can really ignore the 528 line in situations like we're in now. I'd
hazard a guess that historically some of the worst snowfalls in southern
counties have occurred when that line is well to the north. What matters
is the lowest km or even less, not the entire 5km that is occupied by
that
thickness.

--
Mike Tullett - Coleraine 55.13°N 6.69°W posted 12/29/2009 3:06:23 PM
GMT


If I see a speck of snow here I'll let you know because by then the rest
of you will be all but buried!

--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net

North East Florida is NE FL, hot in summer and warm/cool and even cold
in winter. We had ice on the car this am.
We have some kind of threat on Jan 2.


http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/product...ts/threats.gif