uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1   Report Post  
Old January 3rd 10, 10:32 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jan 2007
Posts: 1,720
Default Most likely days for snow countrywide

At the moment the most likely time for a reasonable fall of snow looks to be
around Wednesday as a front moves South. It also looks as though as it does
so it could split East and West and frankly anywhere, including the S.E
could miss out so be prepared. No rattles out of said pram though, there
should be further opportunities.
Dave



  #2   Report Post  
Old January 3rd 10, 10:57 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Aug 2009
Posts: 150
Default Most likely days for snow countrywide

On Jan 3, 10:32*am, "Dave Cornwell"
wrote:
At the moment the most likely time for a reasonable fall of snow looks to be
around Wednesday as a front moves South. It also looks as though as it does
so it could split East and West and frankly anywhere, including the S.E
could miss out so be prepared. No rattles out of said pram though, there
should be further opportunities.
Dave


GFS 06Z 03/01/2010 run shows some interesting 144 hour accumulated
liquid totals, if it is to be believed.
The south coast around Southampton could be in for a big dump!

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs144sum.gif
  #3   Report Post  
Old January 3rd 10, 03:31 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Aug 2009
Posts: 33
Default Most likely days for snow countrywide

Dave.
If I want to throw my rattle out of my pram, I will, I can also go one
better and smash up my train set as well!

Regards.
Len.
"Dave Cornwell" wrote in message
...
At the moment the most likely time for a reasonable fall of snow looks to
be around Wednesday as a front moves South. It also looks as though as it
does so it could split East and West and frankly anywhere, including the
S.E could miss out so be prepared. No rattles out of said pram though,
there should be further opportunities.
Dave


  #4   Report Post  
Old January 3rd 10, 09:06 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Oct 2008
Posts: 266
Default Most likely days for snow countrywide

|"Alan" wrote in message
...
|On Jan 3, 10:32 am, "Dave Cornwell"
wrote:
At the moment the most likely time for a reasonable fall of snow looks to
be
around Wednesday as a front moves South. It also looks as though as it
does
so it could split East and West and frankly anywhere, including the S.E
could miss out so be prepared. No rattles out of said pram though, there
should be further opportunities.
Dave

|
|GFS 06Z 03/01/2010 run shows some interesting 144 hour accumulated
|liquid totals, if it is to be believed.
|The south coast around Southampton could be in for a big dump!
|
|http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs144sum.gif
|

I had a look at the Bracknell charts on
http://meteonet.nl/aktueel/brackall.htm (link courtesy of "Weather Jack"
Harrison) which currently has three forecast charts for 12Z on Wednesday 6
January. The oldest one (T+96) would indeed be "Apocalypse Now" for our
part of the world if it verified. The next offering issued 12 hours later
for T+84 might push the odd flake of snow over the chalk downs. The most
recent one (T+72) looks totally innocuous for this part of the world.

As the general situation is northerly, I would be surprised if we see
anything much out of this here in the sunny south. A 600 mile land track
with a number of ranges of hills en route will see to that. Even the chalk
downs around Guildford and Haslemere are normally sufficient to prevent
anything significant reaching the Southampton area on a NEly unless there is
strong synoptic forcing. To get serious snow here (as opposed to freezing
rain, which we took big just before Christmas and which only requires
southerlies or southwesterlies aloft bringing showers off the Channel) we
need a SEly with very cold air coming off the Continent.

The freezing rain event was weird. We had a very shallow layer of cold air
at -3C or below which just sat on the ground while the mild air containing
the rain showers rolled over only about 1500 - 2000 ft above. I watched the
ice build up thinking "it just needs the wind to pick up and it will thaw
just like that", but it didn't happen.
--
- Yokel -
Yokel @ Ashurst New Forest
SU 336 107 17m a.s.l.

"Yokel" posts via a spam-trap account which is not read.


  #5   Report Post  
Old January 3rd 10, 09:42 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jan 2010
Posts: 2
Default Most likely days for snow countrywide

On Sun, 3 Jan 2010 21:06:38 -0000, "Yokel"
wrote:

|"Alan" wrote in message
...
|On Jan 3, 10:32 am, "Dave Cornwell"
wrote:
At the moment the most likely time for a reasonable fall of snow looks to
be
around Wednesday as a front moves South. It also looks as though as it
does
so it could split East and West and frankly anywhere, including the S.E
could miss out so be prepared. No rattles out of said pram though, there
should be further opportunities.
Dave

|
|GFS 06Z 03/01/2010 run shows some interesting 144 hour accumulated
|liquid totals, if it is to be believed.
|The south coast around Southampton could be in for a big dump!
|
|http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs144sum.gif
|

I had a look at the Bracknell charts on
http://meteonet.nl/aktueel/brackall.htm (link courtesy of "Weather Jack"
Harrison) which currently has three forecast charts for 12Z on Wednesday 6
January. The oldest one (T+96) would indeed be "Apocalypse Now" for our
part of the world if it verified. The next offering issued 12 hours later
for T+84 might push the odd flake of snow over the chalk downs. The most
recent one (T+72) looks totally innocuous for this part of the world.

As the general situation is northerly, I would be surprised if we see
anything much out of this here in the sunny south. A 600 mile land track
with a number of ranges of hills en route will see to that. Even the chalk
downs around Guildford and Haslemere are normally sufficient to prevent
anything significant reaching the Southampton area on a NEly unless there is
strong synoptic forcing. To get serious snow here (as opposed to freezing
rain, which we took big just before Christmas and which only requires
southerlies or southwesterlies aloft bringing showers off the Channel) we
need a SEly with very cold air coming off the Continent.

The freezing rain event was weird. We had a very shallow layer of cold air
at -3C or below which just sat on the ground while the mild air containing
the rain showers rolled over only about 1500 - 2000 ft above. I watched the
ice build up thinking "it just needs the wind to pick up and it will thaw
just like that", but it didn't happen.



"To get serious snow here we need a SEly with very cold air coming off
the Continent."

Thats where it will come from next Fri/Sat looking at CountryFile
(a good possibility- need to wait for updates)


Reply
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules

Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
The Coriolis Effect (or not as the case is most likely) and ThePerfect Storm Weatherlawyer uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 5 October 19th 13 11:49 AM
"However, the most likely outcome is for much colder weather" Brian in Aberfeldy uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 10 January 26th 12 01:56 PM
Most terrible weather in Norway these days Bjørn Sørheim uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 4 March 24th 11 11:15 PM
Most likely periods for snow in SE. Martin Rowley uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 11 February 18th 06 02:20 PM
Most consecutive days over 30C? Dave C uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 4 August 15th 03 06:53 AM


All times are GMT. The time now is 05:33 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright ©2004-2025 Weather Banter.
The comments are property of their posters.
 

About Us

"It's about Weather"

 

Copyright © 2017