uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

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Old January 5th 10, 03:25 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
RK RK is offline
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Default Risk moving east?

The 12Z high-res output (NAE as well as GFS) seems to suggest the
highest snow risk is somewhat further northeast than first thought -
perhaps more like Berks/Hants/Surrey (even W London) as opposed to
Hants/Wilts/Dorset. In fact mush of Dorset looks like missing the
heavy stuff, based on current output.
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Old January 5th 10, 03:58 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Risk moving east?

On 5 Jan, 16:25, RK wrote:
The 12Z high-res output (NAE as well as GFS) seems to suggest the
highest snow risk is somewhat further northeast than first thought -
perhaps more like Berks/Hants/Surrey (even W London) as opposed to
Hants/Wilts/Dorset. In fact mush of Dorset looks like missing the
heavy stuff, based on current output.


Could be grim for Marlow (Bucks) in that case.
Will send lots of reports.
Regards Richard Bailey
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Old January 5th 10, 04:08 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Risk moving east?

On Jan 5, 4:58*pm, Ricardo wrote:
On 5 Jan, 16:25, RK wrote:

The 12Z high-res output (NAE as well as GFS) seems to suggest the
highest snow risk is somewhat further northeast than first thought -
perhaps more like Berks/Hants/Surrey (even W London) as opposed to
Hants/Wilts/Dorset. In fact mush of Dorset looks like missing the
heavy stuff, based on current output.


Could be grim for Marlow (Bucks) in that case.
Will send lots of reports.
Regards Richard Bailey


Indeed the red warning has been extended eastwards:

London & South East England:
Bracknell Forest
Buckinghamshire
Reading
Slough
Surrey
Windsor + Maidenhead
Wokingham

Very Heavy Snowfall 2000 Tue 5 1100 Wed 6
There is a high risk of an extreme weather event affecting the area
during Tuesday evening and overnight into Wednesday morning. A period
of exceptionally heavy snowfall is expected with accumulations of
15-30 cm and possibly in excess of 40 cm. This is expected to cause
widespread disruption to the transport network and could lead to
problems with power supplies.

The public are advised to take extreme care and refer to the Highways
Agency for further advice on traffic disruption on motorways and trunk
roads.

Issued at: 1653 Tue 5 Jan
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Old January 5th 10, 04:30 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Risk moving east?

On Tue, 5 Jan 2010, Alan wrote
On Jan 5, 4:58*pm, Ricardo wrote:
On 5 Jan, 16:25, RK wrote:

The 12Z high-res output (NAE as well as GFS) seems to suggest the
highest snow risk is somewhat further northeast than first thought -
perhaps more like Berks/Hants/Surrey (even W London) as opposed to
Hants/Wilts/Dorset. In fact mush of Dorset looks like missing the
heavy stuff, based on current output.


Could be grim for Marlow (Bucks) in that case.
Will send lots of reports.
Regards Richard Bailey


Indeed the red warning has been extended eastwards:

London & South East England:
Bracknell Forest
Buckinghamshire
Reading
Slough
Surrey
Windsor + Maidenhead
Wokingham

Very Heavy Snowfall 2000 Tue 5 1100 Wed 6
There is a high risk of an extreme weather event affecting the area
during Tuesday evening and overnight into Wednesday morning. A period
of exceptionally heavy snowfall is expected with accumulations of
15-30 cm and possibly in excess of 40 cm. This is expected to cause
widespread disruption to the transport network and could lead to
problems with power supplies.

The public are advised to take extreme care and refer to the Highways
Agency for further advice on traffic disruption on motorways and trunk
roads.

Issued at: 1653 Tue 5 Jan


I've been looking at http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ with trepidation, as
we have five Greeks to get to Thessaloniki tomorrow via a very early
morning flight from Gatwick. It was looking as if things might not be
so bad, earlier on, but there's a simply huge dark red splodge moving
steadily east on a broad front now, which looks terrifying.


--
Kate B

PS 'elvira' is spamtrapped - please reply to 'elviraspam' at cockaigne dot org dot uk if you
want to reply personally
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Old January 5th 10, 05:05 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Risk moving east?



"RK" wrote in message
...
The 12Z high-res output (NAE as well as GFS) seems to suggest the
highest snow risk is somewhat further northeast than first thought -
perhaps more like Berks/Hants/Surrey (even W London) as opposed to
Hants/Wilts/Dorset. In fact mush of Dorset looks like missing the
heavy stuff, based on current output.


Indeed. The long-awaited dumping won't happen now and we've had 5mm of cold
rain.

Will we ever get snow again here? If even this spell won't provide it,
well.........

Jim.

--
Bournemouth Weather readings online: http://www.g0ofe.com/weather



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Old January 5th 10, 06:54 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Risk moving east?

"Jim Smith" wrote ...

Indeed. The long-awaited dumping won't happen now and we've had 5mm
of cold rain.

Will we ever get snow again here? If even this spell won't provide
it, well.........
Bournemouth Weather readings online: http://www.g0ofe.com/weather


.... I know: looks like we live in the 'snowless' centre of Britain
atm! I've been through the whole range of emotions over the past few
days; up to early Sunday fairly dismissive and only expecting a light
dusting on a weakening cold front, then Sunday/early Monday, upped the
risk of 'some' accumulation to more than 50%, then yesterday
afternoon/evening, a real expectation that the low would position such
that the curl that is affecting counties well to the north now would
have our name on it ... then this morning, I decided, just in case, to
mark out the snow markers with 5cm levels, and move the shovel around
to the front, but with a warm ex-Channel breeze on my back, it didn't
look good.

Now moved the shovel back into the shed. Ho hum, such is life.

Martin.

--
Martin Rowley
West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl
Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W
NGR: SU 082 023


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Old January 5th 10, 07:02 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Risk moving east?

On 5 Jan, 19:54, "Martin Rowley"
wrote:
"Jim Smith" wrote ...



Indeed. The long-awaited dumping won't happen now and we've had 5mm
of cold rain.


Will we ever get snow again here? *If even this spell won't provide
it, well.........
Bournemouth Weather readings online:http://www.g0ofe.com/weather


... I know: looks like we live in the 'snowless' centre of Britain
atm! I've been through the whole range of emotions over the past few
days; up to early Sunday fairly dismissive and only expecting a light
dusting on a weakening cold front, then Sunday/early Monday, upped the
risk of 'some' accumulation to more than 50%, then yesterday
afternoon/evening, a real expectation that the low would position such
that the curl that is affecting counties well to the north now would
have our name on it ... then this morning, I decided, just in case, to
mark out the snow markers with 5cm levels, and move the shovel around
to the front, but with a warm ex-Channel breeze on my back, it didn't
look good.

Now moved the shovel back into the shed. Ho hum, such is life.

Martin.

--
Martin Rowley
West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl
Lat: 50.82N * Long: 01.88W
NGR: SU 082 023


The heavy snow in Wokingham has now turned light. The latest radar
seems to show the precipitation tracking even further east than the
revised warning predicted. I would say that London will get a dumping
and possibly further east too. Watch out Keith!!
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Old January 5th 10, 10:18 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Risk moving east?



"Ian Waddell" wrote in message
...
On 5 Jan, 19:54, "Martin Rowley"
wrote:
"Jim Smith" wrote ...



Indeed. The long-awaited dumping won't happen now and we've had 5mm
of cold rain.


Will we ever get snow again here? If even this spell won't provide
it, well.........
Bournemouth Weather readings online:http://www.g0ofe.com/weather


... I know: looks like we live in the 'snowless' centre of Britain
atm! I've been through the whole range of emotions over the past few
days; up to early Sunday fairly dismissive and only expecting a light
dusting on a weakening cold front, then Sunday/early Monday, upped the
risk of 'some' accumulation to more than 50%, then yesterday
afternoon/evening, a real expectation that the low would position such
that the curl that is affecting counties well to the north now would
have our name on it ... then this morning, I decided, just in case, to
mark out the snow markers with 5cm levels, and move the shovel around
to the front, but with a warm ex-Channel breeze on my back, it didn't
look good.

Now moved the shovel back into the shed. Ho hum, such is life.

Martin.

--
Martin Rowley
West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl
Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W
NGR: SU 082 023


The heavy snow in Wokingham has now turned light. The latest radar
seems to show the precipitation tracking even further east than the
revised warning predicted. I would say that London will get a dumping
and possibly further east too. Watch out Keith!!


I am happy got a decent covering in Plympton at last with radar showing a
fair few showers in our neck of woods. Just had fun taking our Border Collie
for her late night walk trying to bite the large flakes falling jumping high
in air

Stan

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Old January 5th 10, 10:30 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Risk moving east?

Stan wrote:


"Ian Waddell" wrote in message
...
On 5 Jan, 19:54, "Martin Rowley"
wrote:
"Jim Smith" wrote ...



Indeed. The long-awaited dumping won't happen now and we've had 5mm
of cold rain.

Will we ever get snow again here? If even this spell won't provide
it, well.........
Bournemouth Weather readings online:http://www.g0ofe.com/weather

... I know: looks like we live in the 'snowless' centre of Britain
atm! I've been through the whole range of emotions over the past few
days; up to early Sunday fairly dismissive and only expecting a light
dusting on a weakening cold front, then Sunday/early Monday, upped the
risk of 'some' accumulation to more than 50%, then yesterday
afternoon/evening, a real expectation that the low would position such
that the curl that is affecting counties well to the north now would
have our name on it ... then this morning, I decided, just in case, to
mark out the snow markers with 5cm levels, and move the shovel around
to the front, but with a warm ex-Channel breeze on my back, it didn't
look good.

Now moved the shovel back into the shed. Ho hum, such is life.

Martin.

--
Martin Rowley
West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl
Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W
NGR: SU 082 023


The heavy snow in Wokingham has now turned light. The latest radar
seems to show the precipitation tracking even further east than the
revised warning predicted. I would say that London will get a dumping
and possibly further east too. Watch out Keith!!


I am happy got a decent covering in Plympton at last with radar showing
a fair few showers in our neck of woods. Just had fun taking our Border
Collie for her late night walk trying to bite the large flakes falling
jumping high in air

Stan


1.4°C some snow in the air.
Wind SE 7mph.

Amsterdam now -2°C
Oostend -2°C
Brussels -4°C (DP -6°C)

Mmm, what will the morning be like ?
--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net
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