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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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The 12Z high-res output (NAE as well as GFS) seems to suggest the
highest snow risk is somewhat further northeast than first thought - perhaps more like Berks/Hants/Surrey (even W London) as opposed to Hants/Wilts/Dorset. In fact mush of Dorset looks like missing the heavy stuff, based on current output. |
#2
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On 5 Jan, 16:25, RK wrote:
The 12Z high-res output (NAE as well as GFS) seems to suggest the highest snow risk is somewhat further northeast than first thought - perhaps more like Berks/Hants/Surrey (even W London) as opposed to Hants/Wilts/Dorset. In fact mush of Dorset looks like missing the heavy stuff, based on current output. Could be grim for Marlow (Bucks) in that case. Will send lots of reports. Regards Richard Bailey |
#3
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On Jan 5, 4:58*pm, Ricardo wrote:
On 5 Jan, 16:25, RK wrote: The 12Z high-res output (NAE as well as GFS) seems to suggest the highest snow risk is somewhat further northeast than first thought - perhaps more like Berks/Hants/Surrey (even W London) as opposed to Hants/Wilts/Dorset. In fact mush of Dorset looks like missing the heavy stuff, based on current output. Could be grim for Marlow (Bucks) in that case. Will send lots of reports. Regards Richard Bailey Indeed the red warning has been extended eastwards: London & South East England: Bracknell Forest Buckinghamshire Reading Slough Surrey Windsor + Maidenhead Wokingham Very Heavy Snowfall 2000 Tue 5 1100 Wed 6 There is a high risk of an extreme weather event affecting the area during Tuesday evening and overnight into Wednesday morning. A period of exceptionally heavy snowfall is expected with accumulations of 15-30 cm and possibly in excess of 40 cm. This is expected to cause widespread disruption to the transport network and could lead to problems with power supplies. The public are advised to take extreme care and refer to the Highways Agency for further advice on traffic disruption on motorways and trunk roads. Issued at: 1653 Tue 5 Jan |
#4
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On Tue, 5 Jan 2010, Alan wrote
On Jan 5, 4:58*pm, Ricardo wrote: On 5 Jan, 16:25, RK wrote: The 12Z high-res output (NAE as well as GFS) seems to suggest the highest snow risk is somewhat further northeast than first thought - perhaps more like Berks/Hants/Surrey (even W London) as opposed to Hants/Wilts/Dorset. In fact mush of Dorset looks like missing the heavy stuff, based on current output. Could be grim for Marlow (Bucks) in that case. Will send lots of reports. Regards Richard Bailey Indeed the red warning has been extended eastwards: London & South East England: Bracknell Forest Buckinghamshire Reading Slough Surrey Windsor + Maidenhead Wokingham Very Heavy Snowfall 2000 Tue 5 1100 Wed 6 There is a high risk of an extreme weather event affecting the area during Tuesday evening and overnight into Wednesday morning. A period of exceptionally heavy snowfall is expected with accumulations of 15-30 cm and possibly in excess of 40 cm. This is expected to cause widespread disruption to the transport network and could lead to problems with power supplies. The public are advised to take extreme care and refer to the Highways Agency for further advice on traffic disruption on motorways and trunk roads. Issued at: 1653 Tue 5 Jan I've been looking at http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ with trepidation, as we have five Greeks to get to Thessaloniki tomorrow via a very early morning flight from Gatwick. It was looking as if things might not be so bad, earlier on, but there's a simply huge dark red splodge moving steadily east on a broad front now, which looks terrifying. -- Kate B PS 'elvira' is spamtrapped - please reply to 'elviraspam' at cockaigne dot org dot uk if you want to reply personally |
#5
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![]() "RK" wrote in message ... The 12Z high-res output (NAE as well as GFS) seems to suggest the highest snow risk is somewhat further northeast than first thought - perhaps more like Berks/Hants/Surrey (even W London) as opposed to Hants/Wilts/Dorset. In fact mush of Dorset looks like missing the heavy stuff, based on current output. Indeed. The long-awaited dumping won't happen now and we've had 5mm of cold rain. Will we ever get snow again here? If even this spell won't provide it, well......... Jim. -- Bournemouth Weather readings online: http://www.g0ofe.com/weather |
#6
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"Jim Smith" wrote ...
Indeed. The long-awaited dumping won't happen now and we've had 5mm of cold rain. Will we ever get snow again here? If even this spell won't provide it, well......... Bournemouth Weather readings online: http://www.g0ofe.com/weather .... I know: looks like we live in the 'snowless' centre of Britain atm! I've been through the whole range of emotions over the past few days; up to early Sunday fairly dismissive and only expecting a light dusting on a weakening cold front, then Sunday/early Monday, upped the risk of 'some' accumulation to more than 50%, then yesterday afternoon/evening, a real expectation that the low would position such that the curl that is affecting counties well to the north now would have our name on it ... then this morning, I decided, just in case, to mark out the snow markers with 5cm levels, and move the shovel around to the front, but with a warm ex-Channel breeze on my back, it didn't look good. Now moved the shovel back into the shed. Ho hum, such is life. Martin. -- Martin Rowley West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W NGR: SU 082 023 |
#7
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On 5 Jan, 19:54, "Martin Rowley"
wrote: "Jim Smith" wrote ... Indeed. The long-awaited dumping won't happen now and we've had 5mm of cold rain. Will we ever get snow again here? *If even this spell won't provide it, well......... Bournemouth Weather readings online:http://www.g0ofe.com/weather ... I know: looks like we live in the 'snowless' centre of Britain atm! I've been through the whole range of emotions over the past few days; up to early Sunday fairly dismissive and only expecting a light dusting on a weakening cold front, then Sunday/early Monday, upped the risk of 'some' accumulation to more than 50%, then yesterday afternoon/evening, a real expectation that the low would position such that the curl that is affecting counties well to the north now would have our name on it ... then this morning, I decided, just in case, to mark out the snow markers with 5cm levels, and move the shovel around to the front, but with a warm ex-Channel breeze on my back, it didn't look good. Now moved the shovel back into the shed. Ho hum, such is life. Martin. -- Martin Rowley West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl Lat: 50.82N * Long: 01.88W NGR: SU 082 023 The heavy snow in Wokingham has now turned light. The latest radar seems to show the precipitation tracking even further east than the revised warning predicted. I would say that London will get a dumping and possibly further east too. Watch out Keith!! |
#8
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![]() "Ian Waddell" wrote in message ... On 5 Jan, 19:54, "Martin Rowley" wrote: "Jim Smith" wrote ... Indeed. The long-awaited dumping won't happen now and we've had 5mm of cold rain. Will we ever get snow again here? If even this spell won't provide it, well......... Bournemouth Weather readings online:http://www.g0ofe.com/weather ... I know: looks like we live in the 'snowless' centre of Britain atm! I've been through the whole range of emotions over the past few days; up to early Sunday fairly dismissive and only expecting a light dusting on a weakening cold front, then Sunday/early Monday, upped the risk of 'some' accumulation to more than 50%, then yesterday afternoon/evening, a real expectation that the low would position such that the curl that is affecting counties well to the north now would have our name on it ... then this morning, I decided, just in case, to mark out the snow markers with 5cm levels, and move the shovel around to the front, but with a warm ex-Channel breeze on my back, it didn't look good. Now moved the shovel back into the shed. Ho hum, such is life. Martin. -- Martin Rowley West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W NGR: SU 082 023 The heavy snow in Wokingham has now turned light. The latest radar seems to show the precipitation tracking even further east than the revised warning predicted. I would say that London will get a dumping and possibly further east too. Watch out Keith!! I am happy got a decent covering in Plympton at last with radar showing a fair few showers in our neck of woods. Just had fun taking our Border Collie for her late night walk trying to bite the large flakes falling jumping high in air ![]() Stan |
#9
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Stan wrote:
"Ian Waddell" wrote in message ... On 5 Jan, 19:54, "Martin Rowley" wrote: "Jim Smith" wrote ... Indeed. The long-awaited dumping won't happen now and we've had 5mm of cold rain. Will we ever get snow again here? If even this spell won't provide it, well......... Bournemouth Weather readings online:http://www.g0ofe.com/weather ... I know: looks like we live in the 'snowless' centre of Britain atm! I've been through the whole range of emotions over the past few days; up to early Sunday fairly dismissive and only expecting a light dusting on a weakening cold front, then Sunday/early Monday, upped the risk of 'some' accumulation to more than 50%, then yesterday afternoon/evening, a real expectation that the low would position such that the curl that is affecting counties well to the north now would have our name on it ... then this morning, I decided, just in case, to mark out the snow markers with 5cm levels, and move the shovel around to the front, but with a warm ex-Channel breeze on my back, it didn't look good. Now moved the shovel back into the shed. Ho hum, such is life. Martin. -- Martin Rowley West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W NGR: SU 082 023 The heavy snow in Wokingham has now turned light. The latest radar seems to show the precipitation tracking even further east than the revised warning predicted. I would say that London will get a dumping and possibly further east too. Watch out Keith!! I am happy got a decent covering in Plympton at last with radar showing a fair few showers in our neck of woods. Just had fun taking our Border Collie for her late night walk trying to bite the large flakes falling jumping high in air ![]() Stan 1.4°C some snow in the air. Wind SE 7mph. Amsterdam now -2°C Oostend -2°C Brussels -4°C (DP -6°C) Mmm, what will the morning be like ? -- Keith (Southend) http://www.southendweather.net e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net |
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