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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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Is it my imagination, or is the ECM just beginning to think about
showing the Atlantic making ever-so-slow progress towards breaching that Scandinavian block? http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2401.gif Nah! I'll look again tomorrow! |
#2
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![]() Is it my imagination, or is the ECM just beginning to think about showing the Atlantic making ever-so-slow progress towards breaching that Scandinavian block? Yes please, let's hope so ![]() Graham |
#3
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On Jan 10, 7:51*pm, "Graham" wrote:
Is it my imagination, or is the ECM just beginning to think about showing the Atlantic making ever-so-slow progress towards breaching that Scandinavian block? Yes please, let's hope so ![]() Graham Nah, 20 Jan is too early :-) When the sun rises before 7 and sets after 5, then it can go mild. The mildness will at least feel springlike then! Nick |
#4
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On Jan 10, 8:05*pm, Nick wrote:
On Jan 10, 7:51*pm, "Graham" wrote: Is it my imagination, or is the ECM just beginning to think about showing the Atlantic making ever-so-slow progress towards breaching that Scandinavian block? Yes please, let's hope so ![]() Graham Nah, 20 Jan is too early :-) When the sun rises before 7 and sets after 5, then it can go mild. The mildness will at least feel springlike then! Nick Just a little further back east on the 00z ECM. Less so, ironically, on the gfs, but both models are showing milder at 10 days now and are both more inclined to move the atlantic through. Tentative, but are we seeing the longer term end to the cold. Here's hoping, but forecasting hope doesn't lead to success - as amply demonstrated on another thread! |
#5
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On Jan 11, 8:28*am, Dawlish wrote:
On Jan 10, 8:05*pm, Nick wrote: On Jan 10, 7:51*pm, "Graham" wrote: Is it my imagination, or is the ECM just beginning to think about showing the Atlantic making ever-so-slow progress towards breaching that Scandinavian block? Yes please, let's hope so ![]() Graham Nah, 20 Jan is too early :-) When the sun rises before 7 and sets after 5, then it can go mild. The mildness will at least feel springlike then! Nick Just a little further back east on the 00z ECM. Less so, ironically, on the gfs, but both models are showing milder at 10 days now and are both more inclined to move the atlantic through. Tentative, but are we seeing the longer term end to the cold. Here's hoping, but forecasting hope doesn't lead to success - as amply demonstrated on another thread!- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - 15-day 12z ens for The Netherlands. They *suggest* a warming and no return to the cold at 10 days+. This is probably colder than we are likely to experience as well. It *could* spell the death knell for a return of the cold. http://www.knmi.nl/exp/pluim/vijftiendaagse/index.html In addition, the Jet is showing some signs of abandoning its southerly path. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn22814.png Not enough confidence yet, but by later this evening, there's a chance that I'll be 75% convinced of a longer term change. In the meantime, I'm really looking forward to 10C in Dawlish over the weekend........but I'm not looking forward to hosing the dog clean and drying him after every walk again (he's probably not that keen on it either!)! |
#6
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On Jan 11, 10:32*am, Dawlish wrote:
On Jan 11, 8:28*am, Dawlish wrote: On Jan 10, 8:05*pm, Nick wrote: On Jan 10, 7:51*pm, "Graham" wrote: Is it my imagination, or is the ECM just beginning to think about showing the Atlantic making ever-so-slow progress towards breaching that Scandinavian block? Yes please, let's hope so ![]() Graham Nah, 20 Jan is too early :-) When the sun rises before 7 and sets after 5, then it can go mild. The mildness will at least feel springlike then! Nick Just a little further back east on the 00z ECM. Less so, ironically, on the gfs, but both models are showing milder at 10 days now and are both more inclined to move the atlantic through. Tentative, but are we seeing the longer term end to the cold. Here's hoping, but forecasting hope doesn't lead to success - as amply demonstrated on another thread!- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - 15-day 12z ens for The Netherlands. They *suggest* a warming and no return to the cold at 10 days+. This is probably colder than we are likely to experience as well. It *could* spell the death knell for a return of the cold. http://www.knmi.nl/exp/pluim/vijftiendaagse/index.html In addition, the Jet is showing some signs of abandoning its southerly path. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn22814.png Not enough confidence yet, but by later this evening, there's a chance that I'll be 75% convinced of a longer term change. In the meantime, I'm really looking forward to 10C in Dawlish over the weekend........but I'm not looking forward to hosing the dog clean and drying him after every walk again (he's probably not that keen on it either!)!- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - gfs 12z shows a distinct lack of warmth at 10 days. (sigh). |
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