On Jan 21, 9:56*am, John Hall wrote:
In article
,

*Dawlish writes:
And then when you think you may be seeing something that may be an
actual solution, the ECM doesn't sink the high and suggests, instead,
the northerly that has been hinted at a couple of times in the last 2
days by the ECM and once in a gfs run. Nothing sorted at 10 days
still. Back to the lookout post!

Things are improving, though. Yesterday, things didn't even seem to be
sorted at five days, never mind at ten!
--
John Hall
* * * * * *"Acting is merely the art of keeping a large group of people
* * * * * * from coughing."
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Sir Ralph Richardson (1902-83)

Heh, yes, maybe John! Some support for higher pressure close to the UK
at 10 days, which could mean support for a northerly at 10 days, from
the 06z gfs, but I wouldn't bet on it!

On Jan 21, 10:49*am, Dawlish wrote:
On Jan 21, 9:56*am, John Hall wrote:





In article
,

*Dawlish writes:
And then when you think you may be seeing something that may be an
actual solution, the ECM doesn't sink the high and suggests, instead,
the northerly that has been hinted at a couple of times in the last 2
days by the ECM and once in a gfs run. Nothing sorted at 10 days
still. Back to the lookout post!

Things are improving, though. Yesterday, things didn't even seem to be
sorted at five days, never mind at ten!
--
John Hall
* * * * * *"Acting is merely the art of keeping a large group of people
* * * * * * from coughing."
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Sir Ralph Richardson (1902-83)

Heh, yes, maybe John! Some support for higher pressure close to the UK
at 10 days, which could mean support for a northerly at 10 days, from
the 06z gfs, but I wouldn't bet on it!- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

The 00z operational from the ECM follows the ensemble mean very
closely out to 10 days. The gfs operational is a little milder than
the mean, but isn't that far off. In terms of temperatures, perhaps a
warming trend after 7 days? No indications of real cold, or mild after
that, apart from the edges of the spread, of course, one of which may
end up proving correct......but which one??

http://www.meteogroup.co.uk/uk/home/..._forecast.html