Seems to be some indication of less-cyclonic weather towards the end
of the month with a high building from the north, slightly influencing
the UK, suggesting cold and drier. Then at the very end of the run
possibly mild but not appalingly wet. Comments on this one?

On Feb 18, 7:12*pm, Nick wrote:
Seems to be some indication of less-cyclonic weather towards the end
of the month with a high building from the north, slightly influencing
the UK, suggesting cold and drier. Then at the very end of the run
possibly mild but not appalingly wet. Comments on this one?

's'about right Nick. But it's just one operational run which bears
very little resemblance to the ECM runs which have preceded it and has
little in common with the gfs 12z. A very confused picture at T240+.
24 hours ago we looked as if we might be heading towards reasonable
belief in the output at 10 days. Tonight, if anyone wishes to forecast
from that output; good luck to you!

On Feb 18, 7:12*pm, Nick wrote:
Seems to be some indication of less-cyclonic weather towards the end
of the month with a high building from the north, slightly influencing
the UK, suggesting cold and drier. Then at the very end of the run
possibly mild but not appalingly wet. Comments on this one?

Similar thsi morning too. Although the models are suggeting warmth on
occasions at 10 days (and cooler conditions too) while the jet is
forecast to stay stubbornly to the south of us, the charts are less
likely to suggest spring-like conditions. The suggested development of
secondary jets may bring some milder conditions, but we need to see a
strong jet situated between Northern Scotland and Iceland before this
winter would really lose its grip