That's quite a lot of snow the 18Z GFS has on the ground in the UK by
next weekend.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-b...&ARCHIV=0&WMO=

On Feb 20, 1:34*am, Alan Greig wrote:
That's quite a lot of snow the 18Z GFS has on the ground in the UK by
next weekend.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-b...G=en&MENU=0000....

I wish anyone could actually forecast snow depth, in a weeks time,
with anything like that precision! about 10 days ago, the same charts
were showing similar, if not more exaggerated, snow depths for the
middle of this week just gone. Not surprisingly it didn't happen.

I'd certainly accept that there is potential for more late season snow
though. The set up, continued on the 00z gfs and ECM is really very
interesting with those active lows entraining some cold air and
there's not a great deal of spring in the charts any more, even at 10
days.

The ens aren't showing a great deal milder in that timescale either:

http://www.meteogroup.co.uk/uk/home/..._forecast.html

http://www.meteogroup.co.uk/uk/home/..._forecast.html

Damn that jet!

Dawlish - awaiting snow showers this morning IMBY. *))

On Feb 20, 1:34*am, Alan Greig wrote:
That's quite a lot of snow the 18Z GFS has on the ground in the UK by
next weekend.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-b...G=en&MENU=0000....

Don't you just love the way it has a dead-straight southern limit,
both over the UK and on the adjoining continent... And it's always
that same-old M4 corridor southern limit, that seems to happen so
often.....

Still, a nice morning today and a hard frost, so as long as the gaps
between the lows produce more days like this, I won't complain too
much...

Nick

In article ,
Alan Greig writes:
That's quite a lot of snow the 18Z GFS has on the ground in the UK by
next weekend.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-b...en&MENU=000000
0000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=weas&HH=174&ZOOM=1&ARC
HIV=0&WMO=

With all those small, but quite intense, depressions forecast to cross
the country in the coming week, I can see there being an awful lot of
snow in northern districts, especially over the mountains. And I can see
an awful lot of rain and wind in southern England. (The bit in between
is the tricky bit.)
--
John Hall
"Acting is merely the art of keeping a large group of people
from coughing."
Sir Ralph Richardson (1902-83)

In article
,
Nick writes:
On Feb 20, 1:34*am, Alan Greig wrote:
That's quite a lot of snow the 18Z GFS has on the ground in the UK by
next weekend.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-b...G=en&MENU=0000...

Don't you just love the way it has a dead-straight southern limit,
both over the UK and on the adjoining continent... And it's always
that same-old M4 corridor southern limit, that seems to happen so
often.....
snip

Judging by the tracks that most of the lows seem to be forecast to take,
I'd have thought that a SW to NE southern limit would be more accurate -
say Bristol to the Wash (but obviously with the possibility of it being
50 miles further north or - perhaps less likely - south of that).
--
John Hall
"Acting is merely the art of keeping a large group of people
from coughing."
Sir Ralph Richardson (1902-83)