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#1
February 21st 10, 11:55 AM
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North - South divide
Looking at the 06z 850hPa ensemble means for the next week I see London is
averaging about +3C and Aberdeen -8C. Intermediate cities seem to show a proportional transition. Quite a difference which may explain the News 24 forecast saying further spells of snow for the next week. Certainly no southern bias there I wouldn't have thought, with rain and a wet week for the South . Dave |
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#2
February 21st 10, 12:02 PM
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North - South divide
On Feb 21, 11:55*am, "Dave Cornwell"
wrote: Looking at the 06z 850hPa ensemble means for the next week I see London is averaging about +3C and Aberdeen -8C. Intermediate cities seem to show a proportional transition. Quite a difference which may explain the News 24 forecast saying *further spells of snow for the next week. Certainly no southern bias there I wouldn't have thought, with rain and a wet week for the South . Dave The divide was clearly shown on the Countrytracks/file forecast. |
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#3
February 21st 10, 12:19 PM
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North - South divide
On Feb 21, 12:02*pm, Dawlish wrote:
On Feb 21, 11:55*am, "Dave Cornwell" wrote: Looking at the 06z 850hPa ensemble means for the next week I see London is averaging about +3C and Aberdeen -8C. Intermediate cities seem to show a proportional transition. Quite a difference which may explain the News 24 forecast saying *further spells of snow for the next week. Certainly no southern bias there I wouldn't have thought, with rain and a wet week for the South . Dave The divide was clearly shown on the Countrytracks/file forecast. Remember the idea of putting a pin to the Bartlett high? Can anyone suggest a similar thing to push the tracks of lows 100 or 200 miles further south? ;-) Nick |
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#4
February 21st 10, 03:28 PM
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North - South divide
"Nick" wrote in message ... On Feb 21, 12:02 pm, Dawlish wrote: On Feb 21, 11:55 am, "Dave Cornwell" wrote: Looking at the 06z 850hPa ensemble means for the next week I see London is averaging about +3C and Aberdeen -8C. Intermediate cities seem to show a proportional transition. Quite a difference which may explain the News 24 forecast saying further spells of snow for the next week. Certainly no southern bias there I wouldn't have thought, with rain and a wet week for the South . Dave The divide was clearly shown on the Countrytracks/file forecast. Remember the idea of putting a pin to the Bartlett high? Can anyone suggest a similar thing to push the tracks of lows 100 or 200 miles further south? ;-) Nick --------------- Ahh, pins, the Bartlett High, the good old days, remember them fondly ;-) Dave |
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#5
February 21st 10, 04:08 PM
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North - South divide
"Dave Cornwell" wrote in message
... Looking at the 06z 850hPa ensemble means for the next week I see London is averaging about +3C and Aberdeen -8C. Intermediate cities seem to show a proportional transition. Quite a difference which may explain the News 24 forecast saying further spells of snow for the next week. Certainly no southern bias there I wouldn't have thought, with rain and a wet week for the South . Dave The models would suggest it's going to be a particularly snowy week in the central lowlands. Given they have the track of the lows forecast correctly that will probably be true. We shall see. Alex |
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