To highlight the difficulty in making forecasts by the light of the
moon I enclose a copy of the year's lunar phase times:

2010
7th Jan 10:40
15th Jan 07:11
23rd Jan 10:53
30th Jan 06:18
5th Feb 23:49
14th Feb 02:51
22nd Feb 00:42
28th Feb 16:38
7th Mar 15:42
15th Mar 21:01
23rd Mar 11:00
30th Mar 02:25
6th Apr 09:37
14th Apr 12:29
21st Apr 18:20
28th Apr 12:18
6th May 04:15
14th May 01:04
20th May 23:43
27th May 23:07
4th Jun 22:13
12th Jun 11:15
19th Jun 04:30
26th Jun 11:30
4th Jul 14:35
11th Jul 19:40
18th Jul 10:11
26th Jul 01:37
3rd Aug 04:59
10th Aug 03:08
16th Aug 18:14
24th Aug 17:05
1st Sept 17:22
8th Sept 10:30
15th Sept 05:50
23rd Sept 09:17
1st Oct 03:52
7th Oct 18:44
14th Oct 21:27
23rd Oct 01:36
30th Oct 12:46
6th Nov 04:52
13th Nov 16:39
21st Nov 17:27
28th Nov 20:36
5th Dec 17:36
13th Dec 13:59
21st Dec 08:13
28th Dec 04:18

Twenty to dry is the best I can offer for the first one. The second is
more likely spot on. A wet spell. Then a nice dry one (again?) I seem
to remember well defined Anticyclones for the start of the year.

Pity I don't keep records. Anyone here do data ding?

The 30th Jan is on the cusp as near 20 past but as it is an hex, it is
already a foggy one. Sort of flaccid flaccid so to speak.

5th Feb is again a near foggy spell. Whilst things for the 14th are
decidedly thundery. I'll try and remember that Is that what a Bartlet
nnnnnoo I don't think so...

Which brings us to the present spell:
22nd Feb: 00:42

You can now see my dilemma. Hours of 6 or 12 mean fog with a
"positive" state of the cycle in the North Atlantic. But things have
been everything but have they not?

On the cusp of a very wet spell hardly seems to cover things. However
nature tends to throw out troughs on these occasions; like a last
straw to a drowning man.

Crap!
28th Feb: 16:38.
What am I supposed to do with that?

Wisely I beat a retreat. The 7th Mar is no better: 15:42. Twenty to
sixteen. IIRC the 4 and 16 hours produce tornadoes in the USA.

If that helps.

And the next two spells should be positive North Atlantic anomalies.
15th Mar 21:01 Thundery.
23rd Mar 11:00 Anticyclonic.

HTH.


30th Mar 02:25