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Old March 5th 10, 07:39 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default High pressure, or an Atlantic breakdown at 10 days? Take yourpick.

On Mar 5, 7:24*pm, "Lawrence Jenkins" wrote:
"Dawlish" wrote in message

...





After the changing output of the last 36 hours, we're in a period of
real uncertainty towards mid-month. The MetO says this:


"From Monday (15th) until Friday (19th) March the weather becomes much
more unsettled with wind and rain in many western parts spreading
slowly southwards. Temperatures cold at first but near normal later."
It then continues this forecast in a similar unsettled vein past the
end of March on the 15-30 day forecast.


The 12z ECM shows high pressure dominating, whereas the 12z gfs shows
something more unsettled.


Neither the 00z gfs, nor the 00z ECM were outliers in terms of
temperatures compared to the ECM mean and neither was the 12z gfs
operational, compared to the gfs ensemble mean:


http://www.meteogroup.co.uk/uk/home/...semble_forecas...


http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?a...nsviewer;sess=


A slow warming trend is likely, but would anybody like to take a
position on the synoptic situation at 10 days?


So in March you will go for the slow warming trend.

Brilliant absolutey brilliant.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


You understand nothing about the possible uses of weather model
information at 10 days Lawrence either. Try forecasting at that
distance a few times before saying anything to someone that is
prepared to put their neck on the line time and again to do exactly
that. Also - try to avoid abuse in your replies from now on, no matter
how difficuilt it is when you have little to actually say. So far
tonight you've called SRH a GW nutter and me a tw+t. More abuse coming?
 
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