Will Hand wrote:

"Nick" wrote in message
...
On Mar 12, 8:11 am, "Will Hand" wrote:
Sorry about the gloomy message but that is how I see it.

At long last we should see the break in the persistent southerly jet over
the weekend into next week with at long last a good SW jet emanating
out of
Canada, but it looks like being weak for the time being, so it will
not drag
the Azores high towards the UK. But it will break our block and introduce
some weak Atlantic mobility but not enough to break the deep cold
European
trough and especially over Scandinavia. This and the colder seas could
point
to a cold and rather wet Spring. In a way we may end up regretting losing
the cold block as with insolation that would have warmed slowly
anyway. Just
my thoughts, but at least the rain will be welcome for some.

I'm not sure about who to be honest though :-) Two weeks ago the
countryside was a horrendous soggy mire though the dry past two weeks
have improved it somewhat.

Would this forecast necessarily apply to the whole spring though, or
just the latter part of March? I ask that as the spring is a time of
year when typically the same "type" does not persist and often the
weather changes rapidly. Presumably there must be some hope for some
settled spells in April and particularly (as it's still a way off)
May?

Also what sort of changeable weather do you see? Will it be 'Atlantic'
which at least would offer a good number of bright days in between
rain-bands, or a more blocked type with Scotland dry and southern
England influenced by lows over France? (which could be very bad in
the short term but more interesting late April/May when it could lead
to storms)

Thanks,
Nick
======================

Nick it is just a few thoughts to share and I may be totally wrong. My
view would be lows over UK with weak zonality in western Atlantic and
high to east. You are right, of course there will be nice warm settled
interludes too but overall it could go down as cold and wet on CET/EWR.

Will

Just a thought, weak zonality with highs persisting to the east, surely
that could equate to southerlies ;-)

--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net