The fortnightly "wrap-up" indicates little change over the last 2
weeks with a continuing El Nino and weak Trade Winds. Like NOAA* and
inb common with the majority of models, they say that the likelihood
is that the El Nino will decay through the Austral autumn.

In Brief
Central Pacific sea surface temperatures remain warmer than the long-
term average.
The sub-surface water of the tropical Pacific also remains warmer than
the long-term average. However, the sub-surface water in the central
Pacific has cooled over the past two weeks.
The SOI has remained steady over the past week after increasing in
value after a rapid fall in February. The latest approximate 30-day
value of the SOI is -8.
Trade winds are slightly weaker than normal across most of the
tropical Pacific.
Cloudiness near the date-line remains well above average.
Most international computer models are predicting a return to neutral
conditions during the southern hemisphere autumn.

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/

*
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/product...-fcsts-web.pdf