Home |
Search |
Today's Posts |
![]() |
|
uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
Reply |
|
LinkBack | Thread Tools | Display Modes |
#1
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
Here is a summary of the NWP output for noon on Sunday.
Issued 0508, 24th March 2010 The new week will start on an unsettled note with low pressure to the west. During the first half of the week all areas will see some rain and temperatures are likely to be on the cool side. Neither ECM nor its ensembles back up the depth of cold as shown by GFS, however. Analysis and evolution to T+120 via GFS SSE'lies cover the UK, ahead of a trough to the west. There's little change tomorrow, but on Friday a trough moves northwards over the UK. Ahead of the trough there are NE'lies, with southerlies following behind. On Saturday a low crosses the UK. T+120 synopsis http://91.121.93.17/pics/Rtavn12014.png / http://91.121.93.17/pics/Rtavn1201.png http://91.121.93.17/pics/Rukm1201.gif http://91.121.93.17/pics/Recm1201.gif / http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/nogapse_cartes.php The jetstream chart shows a weak westerly flow over the North Atlantic and France. At the 500hPa level there are westerlies with a low to the north. ECM has upper westerlies too, with MetO showing a similar picture. GEM has westerlies aloft too, as does JMA. At the surface, GFS brings a col, as does ECM. MetO has SW'lies for most with a trough over Scotland bringing northerlies there. GEM has a col for most and JMA shows a shallow low crossing the UK. Evolution to T+168 ECM brings strong to gale force southerlies on day 6 as a low moves in from the west. On day 7 the low moves northwards with SSW'ly gales over the UK. GFS shows cold NW'lies spreading over the UK as low pressure moves away to the east. On day 7 low pressure approaches Scotland, with cold WNW'lies across the UK. Looking further afield ECM shows a trough moving eastwards on day 8 with WNW'lies in its wake. On days 9 and 10 there are southerlies and SSE'lies with a low to the west. GFS brings a series of troughs across the UK on days 8 to 10 with cold westerlies and NW'lies. Ensemble analysis (http://91.121.94.83/modeles/gens/gra...ille=Lond res) The GEFS shows a cold spell next week. ECM ensembles http://www.meteogroup.co.uk/meteo/ep...tt6-london.gif The ECM ensembles continue to show temperatures just below average next week. |
Reply |
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
Display Modes | |
|
|
![]() |
||||
Thread | Forum | |||
Today's model interpretation (10/07/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (9/07/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (8/7/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (7/6/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (5/07/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) |