For a while now the GFS has consistently been pointing to something
more settled week of April 5th after a northerly. What are opinions on
the likelihood of this, or at least something a bit more "average"
than we've got now, occurring? I ask this as I can take a week's
holiday at some point in the next 3 weeks and that week would be
ideal, but if the weather's as atrocious as now, there'd be no point
and I may as well just keep working!

ECM seems to be consistently the most pessimistic of the two, with no
northerly for next week and no evidence of a transition to a settled
spell over Easter. Obviously the runs for beyond Easter aren't out yet
though.

Thanks,
Nick

On Mar 25, 4:42*pm, Nick wrote:
For a while now the GFS has consistently been pointing to something
more settled week of April 5th after a northerly. What are opinions on
the likelihood of this, or at least something a bit more "average"
than we've got now, occurring? I ask this as I can take a week's
holiday at some point in the next 3 weeks and that week would be
ideal, but if the weather's as atrocious as now, there'd be no point
and I may as well just keep working!

ECM seems to be consistently the most pessimistic of the two, with no
northerly for next week and no evidence of a transition to a settled
spell over Easter. Obviously the runs for beyond Easter aren't out yet
though.

Thanks,
Nick

It's not showing a settled spell Nick.

On Mar 25, 5:16*pm, Dawlish wrote:
On Mar 25, 4:42*pm, Nick wrote:

For a while now the GFS has consistently been pointing to something
more settled week of April 5th after a northerly. What are opinions on
the likelihood of this, or at least something a bit more "average"
than we've got now, occurring? I ask this as I can take a week's
holiday at some point in the next 3 weeks and that week would be
ideal, but if the weather's as atrocious as now, there'd be no point
and I may as well just keep working!

ECM seems to be consistently the most pessimistic of the two, with no
northerly for next week and no evidence of a transition to a settled
spell over Easter. Obviously the runs for beyond Easter aren't out yet
though.

Thanks,
Nick

It's not showing a settled spell Nick.

Are you sure? Several runs seem to have shown high pressure in the
south for that week, and the others at least suggest something more
"normal" (e.g the 12Z) - good enough for me. I know about not placing
store on one run, but if there's a consistent pattern it must have
some significance presumably?

Nick

why the hell are you asking dawlish?

ask will, someone who actually knows about weather.

Nick wrote:
On Mar 25, 5:16 pm, Dawlish wrote:
On Mar 25, 4:42 pm, Nick wrote:

For a while now the GFS has consistently been pointing to something
more settled week of April 5th after a northerly. What are opinions on
the likelihood of this, or at least something a bit more "average"
than we've got now, occurring? I ask this as I can take a week's
holiday at some point in the next 3 weeks and that week would be
ideal, but if the weather's as atrocious as now, there'd be no point
and I may as well just keep working!
ECM seems to be consistently the most pessimistic of the two, with no
northerly for next week and no evidence of a transition to a settled
spell over Easter. Obviously the runs for beyond Easter aren't out yet
though.
Thanks,
Nick
It's not showing a settled spell Nick.

Are you sure? Several runs seem to have shown high pressure in the
south for that week, and the others at least suggest something more
"normal" (e.g the 12Z) - good enough for me. I know about not placing
store on one run, but if there's a consistent pattern it must have
some significance presumably?

Nick

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