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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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For a while now the GFS has consistently been pointing to something
more settled week of April 5th after a northerly. What are opinions on the likelihood of this, or at least something a bit more "average" than we've got now, occurring? I ask this as I can take a week's holiday at some point in the next 3 weeks and that week would be ideal, but if the weather's as atrocious as now, there'd be no point and I may as well just keep working! ECM seems to be consistently the most pessimistic of the two, with no northerly for next week and no evidence of a transition to a settled spell over Easter. Obviously the runs for beyond Easter aren't out yet though. Thanks, Nick |
#2
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On Mar 25, 4:42*pm, Nick wrote:
For a while now the GFS has consistently been pointing to something more settled week of April 5th after a northerly. What are opinions on the likelihood of this, or at least something a bit more "average" than we've got now, occurring? I ask this as I can take a week's holiday at some point in the next 3 weeks and that week would be ideal, but if the weather's as atrocious as now, there'd be no point and I may as well just keep working! ECM seems to be consistently the most pessimistic of the two, with no northerly for next week and no evidence of a transition to a settled spell over Easter. Obviously the runs for beyond Easter aren't out yet though. Thanks, Nick It's not showing a settled spell Nick. |
#3
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On Mar 25, 5:16*pm, Dawlish wrote:
On Mar 25, 4:42*pm, Nick wrote: For a while now the GFS has consistently been pointing to something more settled week of April 5th after a northerly. What are opinions on the likelihood of this, or at least something a bit more "average" than we've got now, occurring? I ask this as I can take a week's holiday at some point in the next 3 weeks and that week would be ideal, but if the weather's as atrocious as now, there'd be no point and I may as well just keep working! ECM seems to be consistently the most pessimistic of the two, with no northerly for next week and no evidence of a transition to a settled spell over Easter. Obviously the runs for beyond Easter aren't out yet though. Thanks, Nick It's not showing a settled spell Nick. Are you sure? Several runs seem to have shown high pressure in the south for that week, and the others at least suggest something more "normal" (e.g the 12Z) - good enough for me. I know about not placing store on one run, but if there's a consistent pattern it must have some significance presumably? Nick |
#4
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why the hell are you asking dawlish?
ask will, someone who actually knows about weather. Nick wrote: On Mar 25, 5:16 pm, Dawlish wrote: On Mar 25, 4:42 pm, Nick wrote: For a while now the GFS has consistently been pointing to something more settled week of April 5th after a northerly. What are opinions on the likelihood of this, or at least something a bit more "average" than we've got now, occurring? I ask this as I can take a week's holiday at some point in the next 3 weeks and that week would be ideal, but if the weather's as atrocious as now, there'd be no point and I may as well just keep working! ECM seems to be consistently the most pessimistic of the two, with no northerly for next week and no evidence of a transition to a settled spell over Easter. Obviously the runs for beyond Easter aren't out yet though. Thanks, Nick It's not showing a settled spell Nick. Are you sure? Several runs seem to have shown high pressure in the south for that week, and the others at least suggest something more "normal" (e.g the 12Z) - good enough for me. I know about not placing store on one run, but if there's a consistent pattern it must have some significance presumably? Nick --- news://freenews.netfront.net/ - complaints: --- |
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