"Richard Dixon" wrote in message
...
"GKN" wrote in news:ySAGo.152968$pr5.81910
@newsfe08.ams2:

Dave.

I don't think the areas will be specified because there won't be any.
We've been here many times before.

You need high resolution models to get a feel for where the showers are
going to be off an easterly when most of the snowfall generation comes
from "Lake effect" style snow. None of the Met Office hi-res models will
be running out further than Wednesday which might explain the reticence
towards pin-pointing the specific areas.

The high resolution models will certainly help but it's often ensemble based
products from suites such as MOGREPS that drive the assessment of risk and
probability in both the short and medium range. A rather apt example can be
seen here
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research...lity42-lb1.jpg

The future's bright, the future's ensembles :-)

Jon.