uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1   Report Post  
Old December 2nd 10, 10:01 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2005
Posts: 593
Default Is the GFS a warm outlier?

Looking at:

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?a...nsviewer;sess=

It seems to want to bring in an extended period of milder conditions.

More snow flurries here in S Wales
Cheers
James
--
James Brown

  #2   Report Post  
Old December 2nd 10, 12:41 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Mar 2008
Posts: 10,601
Default Is the GFS a warm outlier?

On Dec 2, 10:01*am, James Brown
wrote:
Looking at:

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?a...nsviewer;sess=

It seems to want to bring in an extended period of milder conditions.

More snow flurries here in S Wales
Cheers
James
--
James Brown


It can't be described as a warm outlier, James, as the operational
follows the mean and the plume fairly closely to the 14th. (A little
warmer next week, granted). Even at that distance, we are beyond
model forecasting usefulness and it reflects a Haytor reading of the
runes, from then on.

Personally, I see no agreement, or consistency and at 10 days, I have
fairly low confidence in any outcome. An Atlantic block, developing
next week is likely, but beyond that, I really don't think anyone
knows. With luck, that high will sink southwards, after sitting over
the UK for a few days, bringing in south-westerlies and a warmer feel.
That's a "with luck" hopecast though!


Reply
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules

Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
(Epping) Warm night and warm day George Booth uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 1 November 5th 10 01:01 AM
A warm outlier! Russel Sprout uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 1 August 9th 06 12:28 AM
Warm Baltic & Exceptionally Warm Med Bonos Ego uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 7 August 8th 06 09:46 PM
GFS Watcher Andrew Bond uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 2 September 9th 03 03:02 PM
GFS Models Alan Duckers uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 1 July 6th 03 09:52 PM


All times are GMT. The time now is 03:23 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright ©2004-2025 Weather Banter.
The comments are property of their posters.
 

About Us

"It's about Weather"

 

Copyright © 2017