On Dec 14, 7:27*pm, "Will Hand" wrote:
"Chris Smith" wrote in message

...

Looks to me like today's models mostly call for cold rain after the
weekend, leastwise south of the Pennines.

No they don't. Just look at the ensembles and the 12Z runs. It is panning
out precisely as I expected yesterday. People may not believe it still but
southern Britain is likely to have some snowfalls right through to at least
Wednesday next week with a complex area of low pressure persisting with
small mesoscale lows meandering around in cold sub -5C at 850 hpa air.
Southern coasts could see less snowy conditions but even here snow in any
heavy precipitation brought in on a S or SE wind off a cold France (by
then).

An historic spell is on the way!

I have issued a special update on my weekly forecast for Dartmoor. Something
I have only ever done once before.

http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/weeklydiscussions.htm

Eskimo Will
--

Let's hope so! It does look like the past few GFS operational's were
on the warm end of the ensemble spectrum. Snow shoes to the ready!

On Dec 14, 7:27*pm, "Will Hand" wrote:
"Chris Smith" wrote in message

...

Looks to me like today's models mostly call for cold rain after the
weekend, leastwise south of the Pennines.

No they don't. Just look at the ensembles and the 12Z runs. It is panning
out precisely as I expected yesterday. People may not believe it still but
southern Britain is likely to have some snowfalls right through to at least
Wednesday next week with a complex area of low pressure persisting with
small mesoscale lows meandering around in cold sub -5C at 850 hpa air.
Southern coasts could see less snowy conditions but even here snow in any
heavy precipitation brought in on a S or SE wind off a cold France (by
then).

An historic spell is on the way!

I have issued a special update on my weekly forecast for Dartmoor. Something
I have only ever done once before.

http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/weeklydiscussions.htm

Eskimo Will
--

The Southern Coasts bit I guess was for Dawlish ;-)

Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
"Weather Home & Abroad"