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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Update from the Aussie BOM last week:
"One of the strongest La Niña events on record continues to influence the climate of the Pacific Basin. Climate indicators of ENSO, including tropical cloud amount, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), trade winds and Pacific sea surface and sub-surface temperatures, all remain well in excess of La Niña thresholds. Most have exceeded these thresholds since the middle of 2010. The average August to December SOI (+21.1) has only been exceeded by the La Niña of 1917-18 (+24.4), with the 1975-76 La Niña value (+18.8) ranked third. Several other indices also suggest the La Niña events of 2010-11, 1975-76, 1917-18, 1955-56 and possibly 1988-89, rank closely in terms of the strongest events on record" http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/ and from NOAA on Monday •La Niña is present across the equatorial Pacific. •Negative sea surface temperature anomalies persist across much of the Pacific Ocean. •La Niña is expected to last well into the Northern Hemisphere spring 2011. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/product...-fcsts-web.pdf 2010 was either the warmest, or the second warmest, year on record in all 5 temperature series, surface and satellite, but 2005 and especially 1998 had El Ninos. There are still comparisons between 1998 and 2010 floating around the internet and people questioning whether there can have been any warming, as the temperatures in each are comparable. It's simply disinformation. After a record El Nino produced extreme record global temperatures 12 years ago, now a year with a near-record La Nina has matched it only 12 years later. The next year in which an El Nino develops is likely to see all previous temperature records shattered, unless either global cooling has set in (highly unlikely), or unless another external factor, like a large volcanic eruption interrupts GW. |
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