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Old February 17th 11, 10:35 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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The February output from the GloSea4 model is now available for those
interested in seasonal NWP
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/science/...seas_prob.html

Jon.


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Old February 18th 11, 10:55 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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In article ,
Jon O'Rourke writes:
The February output from the GloSea4 model is now available for those
interested in seasonal NWP
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/science/...robability/glo
b_seas_prob.html

Jon.


So a strong signal for a drier than normal spring for the UK, and a weak
signal for its being colder than normal. (That's if I've interpreted the
charts correctly; I find the format that they use exceptionally
confusing.)

I suspect that the Met Office 16-30 day forecast may be drawing on that
(amongst other sources, no doubt).
--
John Hall

"The covers of this book are too far apart."
Ambrose Bierce (1842-1914)
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Old February 18th 11, 11:41 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Long range probability maps


"John Hall" wrote in message
...
In article ,
Jon O'Rourke writes:
The February output from the GloSea4 model is now available for those
interested in seasonal NWP
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/science/...robability/glo
b_seas_prob.html

Jon.


So a strong signal for a drier than normal spring for the UK, and a weak
signal for its being colder than normal. (That's if I've interpreted the
charts correctly; I find the format that they use exceptionally
confusing.)


John, the weaknesses of the format have been acknowledged. There are plans
to change it to something much much better. I do not have the authority to
say more. Be patient.

Will
--

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Old February 18th 11, 11:49 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Long range probability maps

On Feb 17, 10:35*pm, "Jon O'Rourke" wrote:
The February output from the GloSea4 model is now available for those
interested in seasonal NWPhttp://www.metoffice.gov.uk/science/specialist/seasonal/probability/g...

Jon.


Thanks Jon. It'll be interesting to come back at the end of May and
see how accurate it was.
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Old February 18th 11, 11:49 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Long range probability maps

On Feb 18, 11:41*am, "Will Hand" wrote:
"John Hall" wrote in message

...

In article ,
Jon O'Rourke writes:
The February output from the GloSea4 model is now available for those
interested in seasonal NWP
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/science/...robability/glo
b_seas_prob.html


Jon.


So a strong signal for a drier than normal spring for the UK, and a weak
signal for its being colder than normal. (That's if I've interpreted the
charts correctly; I find the format that they use exceptionally
confusing.)


John, the weaknesses of the format have been acknowledged. There are plans
to change it to something much much better. I do not have the authority to
say more. Be patient.

Will
--




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