uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

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Old April 25th 11, 09:58 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Dismal weekend ahead for the South?

Off camping from Friday until Tuesday in mid Hampshire, is it me or does it
look like a dire damp, soggy spell next weekend with the warm front creeping
north from the continent?




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Old April 25th 11, 03:59 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Dismal weekend ahead for the South?

Plenty of time for the charts to change - it has been glorius down
here with a max on Thurs and sat' of 25.9c, otherwise 23/24c -
cooler today 21/22c but not a cloud in the sky .

Which village/town will you be camping in ?

On Mon, 25 Apr 2011 09:58:15 +0100, "Sea View" wrote:

Off camping from Friday until Tuesday in mid Hampshire, is it me or
does it
look like a dire damp, soggy spell next weekend with the warm front
creeping
north from the continent?



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Old April 25th 11, 04:08 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Dismal weekend ahead for the South?

Not exactly mid Hants so has been pointed out to me by the more worthy half,
will be at Popham Airfield for a 3 day flying event so hopefully it will be
tolerable ;-)

John Athome wrote in message
...
Plenty of time for the charts to change - it has been glorius down
here with a max on Thurs and sat' of 25.9c, otherwise 23/24c -
cooler today 21/22c but not a cloud in the sky .

Which village/town will you be camping in ?

On Mon, 25 Apr 2011 09:58:15 +0100, "Sea View" wrote:

Off camping from Friday until Tuesday in mid Hampshire, is it me or
does it
look like a dire damp, soggy spell next weekend with the warm front
creeping
north from the continent?





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Old April 25th 11, 04:17 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Dismal weekend ahead for the South?

Nearer to North Hants - close to the A303 and M3 Jct 8
south of Basingstoke



On Mon, 25 Apr 2011 16:08:53 +0100, "Sea View" wrote:

Not exactly mid Hants so has been pointed out to me by the more worthy
half,
will be at Popham Airfield for a 3 day flying event so hopefully it
will be
tolerable ;-)

John Athome wrote in message
...
Plenty of time for the charts to change - it has been glorius down
here with a max on Thurs and sat' of 25.9c, otherwise 23/24c -
cooler today 21/22c but not a cloud in the sky .

Which village/town will you be camping in ?

On Mon, 25 Apr 2011 09:58:15 +0100, "Sea View" wrote:

Off camping from Friday until Tuesday in mid Hampshire, is it me or
does it
look like a dire damp, soggy spell next weekend with the warm front
creeping
north from the continent?





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Old April 25th 11, 08:30 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Dismal weekend ahead for the South?

On 25/04/2011 16:17, John Athome wrote:
Nearer to North Hants - close to the A303 and M3 Jct 8
south of Basingstoke



On Mon, 25 Apr 2011 16:08:53 +0100, "Sea wrote:

Not exactly mid Hants so has been pointed out to me by the more worthy
half,
will be at Popham Airfield for a 3 day flying event so hopefully it
will be
tolerable ;-)

John Athome wrote in message
...
Plenty of time for the charts to change - it has been glorius down
here with a max on Thurs and sat' of 25.9c, otherwise 23/24c -
cooler today 21/22c but not a cloud in the sky .

Which village/town will you be camping in ?

On Mon, 25 Apr 2011 09:58:15 +0100, "Sea wrote:

Off camping from Friday until Tuesday in mid Hampshire, is it me or
does it
look like a dire damp, soggy spell next weekend with the warm front
creeping
north from the continent?





The latest GFS outlook (as at the time of this post) shows a very
indeterminate precipitation pattern with, if anything, the highest risk
over the far SE, East Anglia and the East Midlands.

The ECMWF output suggests the blocking anticyclone will be further north
with low pressure more evident over S. England. The outlook currently
on the Met Office site is couched in language which suggests low
confidence in any outcome.

This sort of situation is often not well predicted by computer models.
Bear in mind that only a few days ago the Met Office outlook out to 30
days was much less rain than normal for the foreseeable future. My
forecast is "whatever they say, we will get what comes".

--
- Yokel -

Yokel posts via a spam-trap account which is not read.



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Old April 25th 11, 08:34 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Dismal weekend ahead for the South?

On 25/04/2011 09:58, Sea View wrote:
Off camping from Friday until Tuesday in mid Hampshire, is it me or does it
look like a dire damp, soggy spell next weekend with the warm front creeping
north from the continent?



I cannot really tell at the moment. The 00z GFS had no rain on the 10
day outlook at all, but there is 2mm expected for London on Friday pm on
the 12z.
Bracknell 24/T+96hr (fri) gives a trough approaching the SE - so thats
the showers and Northwood 25/T+120z for Sat gives another trough
approaching the SE.
http://www.cincfleetwoc.com/HF-Fax/N..._1200_T120.png
EC ensembles are going for 5mm Thu for Holland and nothing much more
after Satpm.
All of that to say don't know really!

Phil


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