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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#61
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Dawlish wrote:
On Sep 13, 11:41 pm, Lawrence13 wrote: It was some questions you were asked, but you never answer direct questions do you? I'll ask you again, and give then if you don't answer, it will be a confirmation of his comment that it really is a waste of time even trying to engage with you on the most basic of levels. With your assertion that Arctic sea ice will begin to increase in the next decade: I took that initial reply to me to mean that the arctic sea ice would reach the 1972-2008 average within the coming decade, not just begin to increase within said 10 years. The 1972-2008 average is comfortably above any year in that 2008-2011 series and if 2011 is considered the 'bottom' there is going going to have to be an increase in ice over the next 10 years similar to the rate of decline seen in those 8 years. Something significant really has to happen in the next couple of years for this to be romotely feasable. In other words, it has to get it's skates on Lawrence! Pun intended ![]() -- Col Bolton, Lancashire 160m asl |
#62
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On Sep 14, 6:53*pm, "Col" wrote:
Dawlish wrote: On Sep 13, 11:41 pm, Lawrence13 wrote: It was some questions you were asked, but you never answer direct questions do you? I'll ask you again, and give then if you don't answer, it will be a confirmation of his comment that it really is a waste of time even trying to engage with you on the most basic of levels. With your assertion that Arctic sea ice will begin to increase in the next decade: I took that initial reply to me to mean that the arctic sea ice would reach the 1972-2008 average within the coming decade, not just begin *to increase within said 10 years. The 1972-2008 average is comfortably above any year in that 2008-2011 series and if 2011 is considered the 'bottom' there is going going to have to be an increase in ice over the next 10 years similar to the rate of decline seen in those 8 years. Something significant really has to happen in the next couple of years for this to be romotely feasable. In other words, it has to get it's skates on Lawrence! Pun intended ![]() -- Col Bolton, Lancashire 160m asl Yes he did, checking back. I still think we deserve a reason why he thinks this, as it just seems a bizarre position to take, in the face of all the contrary predictions and the recent trend. |
#63
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In message
, Dawlish writes On Sep 14, 3:35*pm, James Brown wrote: It was. Try this for size. It's from a chapter Spencer wrote in "The Evolution Crisis", a compilation of five scientists who reject evolution: Sometimes I think folk protest too much. Given the length of time it would take by a process of unguided evolution for a single cell (coming in any case from inanimate chemicals) to develop photosensitivity let alone be part of such a complex item as an eye-ball - personally I find that a leap of faith which neither satisfies at a scientific level nor at the level of personal belief. Paul of course you can and no doubt will continue to exclude people from your list of friends who hold an alternative view, though I find this selectiveness strange - almost as if you have become prematurely narrow-minded. But to call people who hold a different and to my mind a more rational understanding of the origins of life 'dangerous' is more typical of the mind-set of someone who is alarmingly an extremist and totalitarian in outlook. The world has enough of those already who say 'don't confuse me with the facts, I've made up my mind'. No cheers James -- James Brown Creationism is; "To my mind a more rational understanding of the origins of life" and an opponent of this is described as "alarmingly an extremist and totalitarian in outlook"............................ good grief. Indeed - but I didn't describe you as dangerous Paul. However if you were ever elected as Prime Minister then I might have to revise that ;-)) The best desrcription of an open mind that I've seen is the one that says; "I have an open mind, but not so open that my brains fall out".................or in this case have been washed out. *)) Well the first part I would agree with - anything that requires you to leave your brains at the door before entering isn't something I would wish to take part in. But some brains could definitely do with a cleansing if our current world situation is anything to go by ... Ah well, I suppose all these recent debates in this ng add colour if not much light! Cheers James -- James Brown |
#64
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Dawlish wrote:
Yes he did, checking back. I still think we deserve a reason why he thinks this, as it just seems a bizarre position to take, in the face of all the contrary predictions and the recent trend. I suspect it's the Piers Corbyn approach. By the time it's apparent what you've predicted couldn't possibly happen, everybody has long since forgotten about it. -- Col Bolton, Lancashire 160m asl |
#65
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In message , James Brown
writes In message , Martin Brown writes On 14/09/2011 15:35, James Brown wrote: It was. Try this for size. It's from a chapter Spencer wrote in "The Evolution Crisis", a compilation of five scientists who reject evolution: Sometimes I think folk protest too much. Given the length of time it would take by a process of unguided evolution for a single cell (coming in any case from inanimate chemicals) to develop photosensitivity let alone be part of such a complex item as an eye-ball - personally I find that a leap of faith which neither satisfies at a scientific level nor at the level of personal belief. You have been tricked by the Intelligence Design fraternity - a thinly disguised alternative bunch of science deniers in the USA who think Bishop Ushers 6000 year old Earth is true because the Bible says so. I don't think for one moment that I have Martin. I cannot imagine how you think an organism with a single working photosensitive cell but without ALL the necessary brain already in place to process the data could possibly have an advantage in the survival of the fittest - and you haven' told me how the cell got photosensitive - or IR sensitive etc. Argument from incredulity is a fallacy. There is a literature on the evolution of sight. Have you read any of it? Evolution is not strictly unguided. It is guided by survival of the fittest that then get to reproduce. In an environment before there are any photosensors the first organism to develop the slightest capability of phototropism has an enormous advantage over everything else. The human eyeball is an odd design with a blind spot right in the centre of the field of view. So you are left with either a God that is a lousy design engineer or evolution as the mechanism. I think on balance I prefer the latter interpretation. YMMV You may - with your amazing stereoscopic orbs consider that you would have done a better exit route for the optic nerve etc. But I wonder if you haven't just got a bigger blind spot somewhere ;-)) Cephalopods manage without a blind spot. They put the "wiring" (neurons) behind the detectors (rods and cones in vertebrates; I don't know the terminology for cephalopods), instead of in front of them. Science doesn't seek to answer the question is there a God. I would hope not. Nor try to answer the question - why? Regards, James Regards, Martin Brown -- Stewart Robert Hinsley |
#66
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On Wed, 14 Sep 2011 18:20:56 +0100, "Togless"
wrote: "James Brown" wrote: I don't know about you Togless - but whenever I try to think about why ANYTHING exists - I find my mind getting sucked into a kind of fathomless pit - 'tis all a mystery at the end of the day. Indeed :-) The American country singer Iris DeMent has some useful thoughts on this in her song "Let The Mystery Be" http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nlaoR5m4L80 |
#67
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In message , Stewart Robert Hinsley
writes In message , James Brown writes In message , Martin Brown writes On 14/09/2011 15:35, James Brown wrote: It was. Try this for size. It's from a chapter Spencer wrote in "The Evolution Crisis", a compilation of five scientists who reject evolution: Sometimes I think folk protest too much. Given the length of time it would take by a process of unguided evolution for a single cell (coming in any case from inanimate chemicals) to develop photosensitivity let alone be part of such a complex item as an eye-ball - personally I find that a leap of faith which neither satisfies at a scientific level nor at the level of personal belief. You have been tricked by the Intelligence Design fraternity - a thinly disguised alternative bunch of science deniers in the USA who think Bishop Ushers 6000 year old Earth is true because the Bible says so. I don't think for one moment that I have Martin. I cannot imagine how you think an organism with a single working photosensitive cell but without ALL the necessary brain already in place to process the data could possibly have an advantage in the survival of the fittest - and you haven' told me how the cell got photosensitive - or IR sensitive etc. Argument from incredulity is a fallacy. There is a literature on the evolution of sight. Have you read any of it? An example: If I were presented with a computer motherboard what would be the more incredulous hypothesis do you think? Cephalopods manage without a blind spot. They put the "wiring" (neurons) behind the detectors (rods and cones in vertebrates; I don't know the terminology for cephalopods), instead of in front of them. You've lost me there Stewart - who are the they? Are you stating that the cephalopods were cunning enough to do all that - I know I struggled with designing frame stores from scratch some decades ago, and you should have seen the resultant wiring!! Should I should have asked a cephalopod for some help? ;-)) Regards, James -- James Brown |
#69
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On 13/09/11 23:46, Lawrence13 wrote:
You consider warnings that hurricanes can only increase in intensity and numbers under a AGW planet are founded in measurable reality. My statement in another post: "The general consensus now is that in a warmer climate, tropical cyclone numbers globally will decrease, and there will be a small increase in the intensity and rainfall (about 5%). In this case, natural variability will dominate over any long term trends." How you infer what you did from the above I have no idea whatsoever. |
#70
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