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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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On Oct 19, 6:28*am, Dawlish wrote:
On Oct 18, 11:55*pm, Adam Lea wrote: On 18/10/11 06:29, Dawlish wrote: On Oct 17, 5:47 pm, *wrote: Probably model fluff, but you can imagine the scurrying and speculation amongst the coldies if these charts cropped up on 2 models in January - even if it was for just one run on each!! http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2402.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2401.png 3 consecutive gfs runs and 2 consecutive ECM runs. Still low probability, but a Scandinavian high is still showing on the charts and is shown stalling the passage of Atlantic depressions over the UK on both models at T240 and creating the classic battleground conditions. PS Yesterday's was posted to pre-empt and dissuade the coldies from doing what they annoy many of us to death with each winter, shouting "EASTERLIES" every time a Scandinavian high shows in the far reaches of gfs. Today we have the backing of a few runs, but it's only low probability still. It'll need two more gfs runs before I become properly interested. If you like snow then easterlies aren't enough, you need moisture and uplift as well, otherwise all you get is either cold sunny conditions with night frosts, or that horrible dull anticyclonic gloom type weather with a strong cold wind that feels like it blows right through you.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Don't we just know it! No good for man, nor beast! 2 days on from my original post and it now looks like the model suggestions will resolve into a short-lived battleground slowing of the Atlantic, with southerlies/south-easterlies for a while, leading to more October warmth, followed by a gradual winning out by the Atlantic. How many times do we see that in winter with the associated angst, soul-searching and banging of heads by the coldies when their dreams are shattered once again, is pretty awful to see. That's why uk.sci.weather is a far better place than weather fora through the winter. Apart from a few individuals (one professional who really should know a lot better) who jump on the cold bandwagon every time, posters here are generally far more conservative and will wait for that agreement and consistency in the models before beginning to expect cold and snow. Don't you just love in internet weather winter? *))- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Will enjoys the cold and is biased towards it which is natural but he is still a professional and many here although they might moan when a forecast doesn't quite pan out would miss Will's input greatly . You seem to feel the need to show disrespect to everyone on this group if they don't see things your way-why do you do that? Other people have disagreed on here all the time but they don't seem to do it with a sneer on their face. Is that how you mean to come across or are you tragically misunderstood? One thing is certain though. When there is a sniff of interesting weather on the horizon people will be seeking out Will's posts -not yours. |
#2
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On Oct 19, 6:04*pm, Lawrence13 wrote:
On Oct 19, 6:28*am, Dawlish wrote: On Oct 18, 11:55*pm, Adam Lea wrote: On 18/10/11 06:29, Dawlish wrote: On Oct 17, 5:47 pm, *wrote: Probably model fluff, but you can imagine the scurrying and speculation amongst the coldies if these charts cropped up on 2 models in January - even if it was for just one run on each!! http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2402.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2401.png 3 consecutive gfs runs and 2 consecutive ECM runs. Still low probability, but a Scandinavian high is still showing on the charts and is shown stalling the passage of Atlantic depressions over the UK on both models at T240 and creating the classic battleground conditions. PS Yesterday's was posted to pre-empt and dissuade the coldies from doing what they annoy many of us to death with each winter, shouting "EASTERLIES" every time a Scandinavian high shows in the far reaches of gfs. Today we have the backing of a few runs, but it's only low probability still. It'll need two more gfs runs before I become properly interested. If you like snow then easterlies aren't enough, you need moisture and uplift as well, otherwise all you get is either cold sunny conditions with night frosts, or that horrible dull anticyclonic gloom type weather with a strong cold wind that feels like it blows right through you.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Don't we just know it! No good for man, nor beast! 2 days on from my original post and it now looks like the model suggestions will resolve into a short-lived battleground slowing of the Atlantic, with southerlies/south-easterlies for a while, leading to more October warmth, followed by a gradual winning out by the Atlantic. How many times do we see that in winter with the associated angst, soul-searching and banging of heads by the coldies when their dreams are shattered once again, is pretty awful to see. That's why uk.sci.weather is a far better place than weather fora through the winter. Apart from a few individuals (one professional who really should know a lot better) who jump on the cold bandwagon every time, posters here are generally far more conservative and will wait for that agreement and consistency in the models before beginning to expect cold and snow. Don't you just love in internet weather winter? *))- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Will enjoys the cold and is biased towards it *which is natural but he is still a professional and many here although they might moan when a forecast doesn't quite pan out would miss Will's input *greatly . You seem to feel the need to show disrespect to everyone on this group if they don't see things your way-why do you do that? Other people have disagreed on here all the time but they don't seem to do it with a sneer on their face. Is that how you mean to come across or are you tragically misunderstood? One thing is certain though. When there is a sniff of interesting weather on the horizon people will be seeking out Will's posts -not yours.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Nor my posts I should have said . By the way the last person that read one of my posts; have they come of section yet? |
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