Home |
Search |
Today's Posts |
![]() |
|
uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
Reply |
|
LinkBack | Thread Tools | Display Modes |
#41
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
will do,
many thanks. Mike |
#42
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]() the subhuman you converse with is a resident troll banned from all weather forums on the internet 1500+ posts a month on hundreds of groups calling everyone a nutter, denier, racist google doesnt lie https://groups.google.com/groups/sea...er&sitesearch= On 18/11/2011 8:29 AM, Dawlish wrote: On Nov 18, 7:22 am, "Joe wrote: "Neo" wrote in message ... HI Neo. You said this on Nov 13th when you opened this discussion with the title; "The Models will all change their long term ideas in the next 3 to 4 days": Neo Paul has established himself as the newsgroup's resident "debunker" or, as some might even put it, the thought police! He raised very valid points himself about the integrity or credibility of certain forecasters who you will see mentioned now and again on this newsgroup. These are the amateur money-making headline spinners who, when they're wrong, will never admit to it. These "charlatan" forecasters are legends in their own mind and their forecast accuracy is dubious except to themselves. I don't think you're in that category and, having only started posting to this newsgroup, I think you should be given the time and place to express your thoughts and establish your own credentials further before what is basically now seen as a judgement. I wouldn't be brave enough, or skilled enough, to try and forecast anything beyond the 5-day limit myself. When others do I hope to see tat they will expand on their thoughts; give clear reasoning and when or if things go awry that they can acknowledge that an learn from it. Carry on posting however be prepared for what will hopefully be constructive criticism (or praise). That's how it should be I imagine. Good luck Neo. Joe "debunker", heh. I've been called a lot worse! *)) That's how it will be. Joe's right in many ways. I base forecasting capability of outcome success and I never judge a forecast by what is written in it; no matter how believable it sounds. When someone foecasts something and it doesn't happen, oddly, I doubt the skill of the forecaster and I monitor others' forecasts. If a forecast goes wrong, I like the forecaster to admit that and explain why. Your discussion thread said the models would change to show very different conditions within 3-4 days, from 13th Nov, implying colder conditions would establish themselves within a 16-day period i.e. before the end of November. They haven't changed at all and continue to show fairly mild weather. Instead instead of offering an explanation, you've just re-forecast the establishment of any cold back into December and started to give me a little grief instead. Monitoring others' forecasts doesn't seem to go down well, for some reason. I don't think anyone likes having their forecasts monitored, they'd generally rather write them, often full of meteorological language, but the proposed reasons seldom (and I mean seldom) have the positive (and usually cold) outcome they have proposed. That can lead to the forecaster turning a little sour when I say they were wrong and ask them why. If you wish to forecast, then achieve accuracy and I'll be the first to praise; promise. The regular posters know me well here and my google profile will give you all the information you need. Perhaps you'd like to introduce yourself and tell the source of your "information", as all we know about you is your pseudonym. I live in Dawlish, hence my name and my name is Paul. Good luck Neo. |
#43
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
LOL!
i just rang ofsted and they couldnt give me 10 day T240 forecast and hung up on me im saying this with 80% accuracy On 18/11/2011 8:45 AM, Eskimo Will wrote: =============================== Neo, just some points. (Dawlish) Paul does NOT work in the Met Office in Exeter nor for any other weather institution. He has no formal qualifications in weather forecasting just an interest. His day job, FWIW, is that he is a private Ofsted Consultant. He has a web site which you can find easily via Google using "paul garvey ofsted consultant" if you really wish to find out more. Keep posting, it's always interesting to see other points of view. Cheers, Will |
#44
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Nov 18, 9:39*pm, The Texican wrote:
LOL! i just rang ofsted and they couldnt give me 10 day T240 forecast and hung up on me im saying this with 80% accuracy On 18/11/2011 8:45 AM, Eskimo Will wrote: =============================== Neo, just some points. (Dawlish) Paul does NOT work in the Met Office in Exeter nor for any other weather institution. He has no formal qualifications in weather forecasting just an interest. His day job, FWIW, is that he is a private Ofsted Consultant. He has a web site which you can find easily via Google using "paul garvey ofsted consultant" if you really wish to find out more. Keep posting, it's always interesting to see other points of view. Cheers, Will It ain't changing til after Christmas. Keith (Southend) |
#45
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
you seem to know a lot of stuff
got any fags on you On 18/11/2011 2:22 AM, Jim Kewley wrote: In message , The Texican writes i did warn you with a troll alert please place "it" in your ignore or killfile keep posting, much appreciated neo...dont let shrek run you off this newsgroup And you certainly know a troll when it appears Mr KY. |
#46
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]() "Eskimo Will" wrote in message ... Neo, just some points. (Dawlish) Paul does NOT work in the Met Office in Exeter nor for any other weather institution. He has no formal qualifications in weather forecasting just an interest. His day job, FWIW, is that he is a private Ofsted Consultant. He has a web site which you can find easily via Google using "paul garvey ofsted consultant" if you really wish to find out more. Keep posting, it's always interesting to see other points of view. I really do hope than in these cash-strapped times, not too much taxpayers' money is being spent by schools trying to get through their Ofsted inspections! -- Col Bolton, Lancashire 160m asl |
#47
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Nov 19, 8:56*am, "Col" wrote:
"Eskimo Will" wrote in message ... * Neo, just some points. (Dawlish) Paul does NOT work in the Met Office in Exeter nor for any other weather institution. He has no formal qualifications in weather forecasting just an interest. His day job, FWIW, is that he is a private Ofsted Consultant. He has a web site which you can find easily via Google using "paul garvey ofsted consultant" if you really wish to find out more. Keep posting, it's always interesting to see other points of view. I really do hope than in these cash-strapped times, not too much taxpayers' money is being spent by schools trying to get through their Ofsted inspections! -- Col Bolton, Lancashire 160m asl email me and I'll tell you all about it! |
#48
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On 18/11/11 19:29, John Hall wrote:
In , Eskimo writes: "John wrote in message ... It's surprising how worked up scientists can get.) Only when people are being stupid! :-) But many scientists seem to define stupid as "anyone who doesn't agree with me". ![]() fashion.) No they don't, such an attitude would fly completely in the face of the scientific method. |
#49
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Nov 19, 8:56*am, "Col" wrote:
I really do hope than in these cash-strapped times, not too much taxpayers' money is being spent by schools trying to get through their Ofsted inspections! -- Col Bolton, Lancashire 160m asl Your hopes are not being realised Col, Nice work if you can get it: £400 a day http://www.weatheroakinspections.co.uk/consultancy.htm No wonder these people can bugger off to the states for the summer! I hope little Harry's school can afford new books this year But is it working? http://www.telegraph.co.uk/education...t-working.html Jobs for the boys anyone! Sean |
#50
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
In article ,
Adam Lea writes: On 18/11/11 19:29, John Hall wrote: In , Eskimo writes: "John wrote in message ... It's surprising how worked up scientists can get.) Only when people are being stupid! :-) But many scientists seem to define stupid as "anyone who doesn't agree with me". ![]() fashion.) No they don't, such an attitude would fly completely in the face of the scientific method. Indeed it would, but scientists are human beings and as such are liable to have human failings. Saying "many" was perhaps a bit unfair, but I've seen exchanges in the letters pages of scientific journals that, if they had occurred in a newsgroup, would have been described as flame wars. -- John Hall "The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." George Bernard Shaw |
Reply |
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
Display Modes | |
|
|
![]() |
||||
Thread | Forum | |||
The Models will all change their long term ideas in the next 3 to 4 days. | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Climate Models and Their Evaluation - Executive Summary | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
How often do UKMO update their forecast on their website | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Climatologists discover Biblical Flood in their Climate Models | sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) | |||
What ambulance chasing lawyer did Belfort hire to further harass one of their employees? Can anyone provide their name and information? This guy must not have any work, or be desperate for business! I bet he is telling Belfort that they have such | sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) |