On Nov 19, 10:05*am, Stewart Robert Hinsley
wrote:
In message , Col
writes







"Stewart Robert Hinsley" wrote in message
...
In message
,
Dawlish writes

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/h...info_mean.html

Philip has the November CET in record territory:

http://www.climate-uk.com/graphs/201111.htm

It's a bit early to be counting that clutch of chickens.

He's not.
The graph shows what the CET is up to now, there is
no forecast/projection as to what it will actually be for
November as a whole.

I interpreted the horizontal lines of the graph as showing the CETs for
November as a whole (as is clearly the case for the rainfall and
sunshire graphs). If so, the graph shows the highest CET for November as
a whole. Comparison with the actual temperatures for the first half of
this November doesn't show the November CET in record territory - for
that you'd need the historical CETs for the first half of November.
Comparing the CET for the first half of November with the CET for the
whole of November is comparing apples with oranges.

Now that we've had another few days of seasonally warm weather, and a
projection of it continuing for the next few days, it's more reasonable
to start speculating about a record.
--
Stewart Robert Hinsley- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

You'll have to read Philip's own commentary Stuart. He does exactly
what you have said and he is not comparing the first half of November
to November as a whole. Col and I are correct; the CET is at a record
for 1-15 November by the Manley series and it was the warmest first
half of November in the CET record. Whether it stays in record
territory and November ends up as a monthly record, is specultaion, I
agree. I think it will be close from what is presently shown on the
models, but I think it will just fall short, as they stand ATM.