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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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On Nov 19, 10:05*am, Stewart Robert Hinsley
wrote: In message , Col writes "Stewart Robert Hinsley" wrote in message ... In message , Dawlish writes http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/h...info_mean.html Philip has the November CET in record territory: http://www.climate-uk.com/graphs/201111.htm It's a bit early to be counting that clutch of chickens. He's not. The graph shows what the CET is up to now, there is no forecast/projection as to what it will actually be for November as a whole. I interpreted the horizontal lines of the graph as showing the CETs for November as a whole (as is clearly the case for the rainfall and sunshire graphs). If so, the graph shows the highest CET for November as a whole. Comparison with the actual temperatures for the first half of this November doesn't show the November CET in record territory - for that you'd need the historical CETs for the first half of November. Comparing the CET for the first half of November with the CET for the whole of November is comparing apples with oranges. Now that we've had another few days of seasonally warm weather, and a projection of it continuing for the next few days, it's more reasonable to start speculating about a record. -- Stewart Robert Hinsley- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - You'll have to read Philip's own commentary Stuart. He does exactly what you have said and he is not comparing the first half of November to November as a whole. Col and I are correct; the CET is at a record for 1-15 November by the Manley series and it was the warmest first half of November in the CET record. Whether it stays in record territory and November ends up as a monthly record, is specultaion, I agree. I think it will be close from what is presently shown on the models, but I think it will just fall short, as they stand ATM. |
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