Could well be, by or just soon after the end of the month, as this cold
cross-atlantic flow sets in.
GFS 06Z ensemble turns it much colder after about 5 days, though with still
a few milder members. Been consistent now for a colder Atlantic regime now.
I use Dublin to assess snow potential for Dartmoor and look for 850hPa
for -3C or less. Not the best snow predictor of course but a useful guide
for my altitude and above. By the end of the month Dublin has circa 40%
chance of this. Please don't run away with the idea that I am predicting a
lot of lying snow I'm definitely not, all I'm saying is that for high ground
the first snowflakes may start falling by the end of the month or soon
after. Always a nice milestone in the year for me, like the first single
figure max., first frost (still to come of course), etc. LOL may even get a
snowflake before a frost this year :-)

--
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm
Will Hand (Haytor, Devon, 1017 feet asl)
---------------------------------------------

Eskimo Will scrive:

like the first single figure max., first frost (still to come of
course), etc. LOL may even get a snowflake before a frost this year :-)

My first single figure max. was on 20.10 (8°) but there has not been
another one since.
Definitely warmer than last year although as stated otherwhere, I have no
data for last year.


--
Gianna
Peterhead, Scotland

buchan-meteo.org.uk

On 20/11/2011 12:15, Eskimo Will wrote:
Could well be, by or just soon after the end of the month, as this cold
cross-atlantic flow sets in.

Will, I hope those snowflakes stay well and truly up your way.

Haven't seen as much as a single snowflake falling here this year, and I
would like it to stay that way making it the first snowflakeless year
since 2007.

Though 2008 was nearly snowflakeless, it took until the spring for a few
of the blighters to fall on the 6th of April. But that was the only
occasion that year.

Only 32 more days to go before the days start getting longer.

Another rather lovely November day with some sunshine.

(12:30), 13.6°C, RH 92%, DP 12.3°C, 1016 hPa (R), Wind 7 mph ESE.

--
Nick G
Otter Valley, Devon
83 m amsl
http://www.ottervalley.co.uk

"Nick Gardner" wrote in message
...
On 20/11/2011 12:15, Eskimo Will wrote:
Could well be, by or just soon after the end of the month, as this cold
cross-atlantic flow sets in.

Will, I hope those snowflakes stay well and truly up your way.

Haven't seen as much as a single snowflake falling here this year, and I
would like it to stay that way making it the first snowflakeless year
since 2007.


Hello Nick.

Never had a snowflakeless year since moving to Haytor.
This year we have only had 3 days so far (all in January). More if one
includes sleet though. Just one day with snow lying more than half cover.
In 2007 we had 18 days "snow falling" but only two with snow lying more than
half cover and that was my least snowiest year since I started recording up
here in 2003. 2011 could take that spot sadly, but then we do still have
December.

Will
--

On 20/11/2011 12:55, Eskimo Will wrote:
Never had a snowflakeless year since moving to Haytor.
This year we have only had 3 days so far (all in January). More if one
includes sleet though. Just one day with snow lying more than half cover.
In 2007 we had 18 days "snow falling" but only two with snow lying more
than half cover and that was my least snowiest year since I started
recording up here in 2003. 2011 could take that spot sadly, but then we
do still have December.

Will, Dartmoor is where I go to get my 'snowfix'. Though mainly enthused
by t'missus who was brought up in Lisbon and only ever saw snow fall and
settle once. The novelty doesn't seem to wear off.

Great to drive up to Dartmoor, walk out on to the snowy high moor, take
photos, enjoy the wild land and sky scapes. Then back down to the
verdant Devon lowlands and the tropics of the Otter Valley.....
--
Nick G
Otter Valley, Devon
83 m amsl
http://www.ottervalley.co.uk

On Nov 20, 1:09*pm, Nick Gardner
wrote:
On 20/11/2011 12:55, Eskimo Will wrote:

Never had a snowflakeless year since moving to Haytor.
This year we have only had 3 days so far (all in January). More if one
includes sleet though. Just one day with snow lying more than half cover.