Home |
Search |
Today's Posts |
![]() |
|
uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
Reply |
|
LinkBack | Thread Tools | Display Modes |
#1
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
Here is a summary of the NWP output for noon on Wednesday.
Issued 0444, New Year's Eve 2011 The outlook remains a zonal one. There's now a stronger sign for mildness continuing, with the cooler trend of the past few days' output looking somewhat less likely now. Analysis and evolution to T+120 via GFS WSW'lies cover the UK in association with a weak ridge. Tomorrow there are SW'lies as a trough approaches from the west, followed by colder SW'lies on Monday. Tuesday sees strong SSW'lies due to a low to the WNW. T+120 synopsis http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rtavn12014.png http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rtavn1201.png http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rukm1201.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Recm1201.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rjma1201.gif The jetstream chart shows a marked ridge to the west, with the jet heading SE'wards over the UK and France. At the 500hPa level there are also NW'lies, with WNW'lies on the other runs due to a weaker ridge. At the surface GFS brings strong WNW'lies, with moderate to strong westerlies on the other runs. Evolution to day 7 ECM brings NW'lies on day 6 as the result of a ridge to the west. There are WSW'lies on day 7 as the ridge moves eastwards. Mild WSW'lies cover the UK on day 6 with GFS as a ridge moves eastwards. There's little change on day 7. Looking further afield Day 8 with ECM shows a trough moving eastwards, followed by WNW'lies on day 9 as a ridge approaches from the west. On day 10 the ridge moves away to the east, allowing SW'lies to cover the UK. Days 8 to 10 with GFS show WSW'lies and westerlies, with a strongly zonal flow. Ensemble analysis http://www.meteociel.com/cartes_obs/...&ville=Londres The GEFS shows zonality continuing, still with a trend for cooler temperatures but now over a week away. ECM ensembles http://www.meteogroup.co.uk/meteo/ep...tt6-london.gif ECM shows zonality with the majority of members now favouring a continuation of generally mild conditions. |
Reply |
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
Display Modes | |
|
|
![]() |
||||
Thread | Forum | |||
Today's model interpretation (New Year's Eve 2010) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (New Year's Eve 2009) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (New Year's Eve) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (New Year's Eve 2004) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (New Year's Eve, 2003) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) |