Or are there more questions than answers or maybe just too many models
to cross.

However:
Okay Stratospheric warming creates Tropospheric cooling-why?

I also understand that the Polar Vortex being knocked of its perch
leads to a far less active jet stream and westerly's at out latitudes
with ridging and troughing far more likely but is that due to
stratospheric warming as well.

Finally: Will who works for UKMO still seems keen for a cold event
next week with possible snow in the SE, however the organisation he
works for says nothing of this. Meanwhile the only model now showing
this possibility is the ECMWF, which may have changed its mind as I
type. The GFS sees none of this and is very different from the
previously mentioned model.
Out of the 'Big Two' something has to give.

Will. I'm not trying to put you on the spot or anyone but so many
inconsistencies over a short time span.

I mean the 0z ECMWF next Saturday looks, as they say colloquially is
as "Sweet as a Nut" for coldie fans http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1921.gif

However the 12z GFS at 192 couldn't be more different and
disappointing http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1921.png

Where do we go from here?