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Old January 17th 12, 04:57 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default An honest MetO Outlook!

A refreshing bit of uncertainty today!
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/...t_alltext.html
--
Phil
Guildford

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Old January 17th 12, 05:02 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default An honest MetO Outlook!

On Jan 17, 4:57*pm, Phil Layton wrote:
A refreshing bit of uncertainty today!http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/...t_alltext.html
--
Phil
Guildford


It's actually happened several times this winter, which is unusual for
the MetO and as you say, it is refreshing. Not that the MetO, or
anyone else, for that matter, can ever be confident of what will
happen 2 weeks+ down the line, but that kind of honesty in the
forecast is really nice to see.
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Old January 17th 12, 07:13 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default An honest MetO Outlook!

In article ,
Phil Layton writes:
A refreshing bit of uncertainty today!
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/...t_alltext.html


Interesting that for the first time they should flag up the possibility
of severe cold setting in towards the end of the month, although saying
it's slightly odds against, just when the models seem to have backed
away from it. I wonder what they've seen that we aren't privy to. Or
could it be Will's SSW?
--
John Hall
"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism
by those who have not got it."
George Bernard Shaw
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Old January 17th 12, 07:49 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default An honest MetO Outlook!

John Hall wrote:
In article ,
Phil Layton writes:
A refreshing bit of uncertainty today!
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/...t_alltext.html


Interesting that for the first time they should flag up the possibility
of severe cold setting in towards the end of the month, although saying
it's slightly odds against, just when the models seem to have backed
away from it. I wonder what they've seen that we aren't privy to. Or
could it be Will's SSW?

-----------------------------
I like the way that is presented a lot. Interestingly the talk Ron and I
went to by Peter Gibbs, I raised this probability question and the
answer was that they were keen to introduce where time permitted - as
here for example, I guess.
Dave
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Old January 17th 12, 08:13 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default An honest MetO Outlook!

On Jan 17, 7:49*pm, Dave Cornwell wrote:
John Hall wrote:
In article ,
*Phil Layton writes:
A refreshing bit of uncertainty today!
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/...t_alltext.html


Interesting that for the first time they should flag up the possibility
of severe cold setting in towards the end of the month, although saying
it's slightly odds against, just when the models seem to have backed
away from it. I wonder what they've seen that we aren't privy to. Or
could it be Will's SSW?


-----------------------------
I like the way that is presented a lot. Interestingly the talk Ron and I
went to by Peter Gibbs, I raised this probability question and the
answer was that they were keen to introduce where time permitted - as
here for example, I guess.
Dave


Due to work commitments I couldn't make that talk last Wednesday. Was
it worth the effort - and is there going to be another one?


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Old January 17th 12, 08:40 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default An honest MetO Outlook!

Scott W wrote:
On Jan 17, 7:49 pm, Dave Cornwell wrote:
John Hall wrote:
In article ,
Phil Layton writes:
A refreshing bit of uncertainty today!
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/...t_alltext.html
Interesting that for the first time they should flag up the possibility
of severe cold setting in towards the end of the month, although saying
it's slightly odds against, just when the models seem to have backed
away from it. I wonder what they've seen that we aren't privy to. Or
could it be Will's SSW?

-----------------------------
I like the way that is presented a lot. Interestingly the talk Ron and I
went to by Peter Gibbs, I raised this probability question and the
answer was that they were keen to introduce where time permitted - as
here for example, I guess.
Dave


Due to work commitments I couldn't make that talk last Wednesday. Was
it worth the effort - and is there going to be another one?

------------------------
To be honest it was a bit basic - I think it was aimed (wrongly) at an
audience that didn't know computer models existed to predict the
weather. There was the opportunity to chat afterwards though and
Burlington House do a very nice cream tea for £6.50 ;-)
Dave.
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Old January 17th 12, 08:58 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default An honest MetO Outlook!

On Jan 17, 8:40*pm, Dave Cornwell wrote:
Scott W wrote:
On Jan 17, 7:49 pm, Dave Cornwell wrote:
John Hall wrote:
In article ,
*Phil Layton writes:
A refreshing bit of uncertainty today!
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/...t_alltext.html
Interesting that for the first time they should flag up the possibility
of severe cold setting in towards the end of the month, although saying
it's slightly odds against, just when the models seem to have backed
away from it. I wonder what they've seen that we aren't privy to. Or
could it be Will's SSW?
-----------------------------
I like the way that is presented a lot. Interestingly the talk Ron and I
went to by Peter Gibbs, I raised this probability question and the
answer was that they were keen to introduce where time permitted - as
here for example, I guess.
Dave


Due to work commitments I couldn't make that talk last Wednesday. Was
it worth the effort - and is there going to be another one?


------------------------
To be honest it was a bit basic - I think it was aimed (wrongly) at an
audience that didn't know computer models existed to predict the
weather. There was the opportunity to chat afterwards though and
Burlington House do a very nice cream tea for £6.50 ;-)
Dave.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


Is there another such event planned?
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Old January 17th 12, 09:16 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default An honest MetO Outlook!

Lawrence13 wrote:
On Jan 17, 8:40 pm, Dave Cornwell wrote:
Scott W wrote:
On Jan 17, 7:49 pm, Dave Cornwell wrote:
John Hall wrote:
In article ,
Phil Layton writes:
A refreshing bit of uncertainty today!
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/...t_alltext.html
Interesting that for the first time they should flag up the possibility
of severe cold setting in towards the end of the month, although saying
it's slightly odds against, just when the models seem to have backed
away from it. I wonder what they've seen that we aren't privy to. Or
could it be Will's SSW?
-----------------------------
I like the way that is presented a lot. Interestingly the talk Ron and I
went to by Peter Gibbs, I raised this probability question and the
answer was that they were keen to introduce where time permitted - as
here for example, I guess.
Dave
Due to work commitments I couldn't make that talk last Wednesday. Was
it worth the effort - and is there going to be another one?

------------------------
To be honest it was a bit basic - I think it was aimed (wrongly) at an
audience that didn't know computer models existed to predict the
weather. There was the opportunity to chat afterwards though and
Burlington House do a very nice cream tea for £6.50 ;-)
Dave.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


Is there another such event planned?

-----------------------------
Not as far as I know but there could well be at a later dtae. I'll let
you know if I see anything.


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