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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Here is a summary of the NWP output for noon on Sunday.
Issued 0451, 7/03/12 Next week will start with high pressure close to the UK with settled conditions for most. The high will drift eastwards, drawing mild or very mild southerlies and SSE'lies over the UK for the middle of the week. Analysis and evolution to T+120 via GFS SSW'lies cover much of the UK as a trough moves eastwards. Tomorrow there are westerlies as a weak ridge affects the UK, followed by SW'lies on Friday. Saturday sees lighter WSW'lies. T+120 synopsis http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rtavn12014.png http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rtavn1201.png http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rukm1201.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Recm1201.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rjma1201.gif The jetstream chart shows a strong and zonal jet far to the north of the UK. At the 500hPa level there's an upper high over the UK, The other runs show a similar picture, with an upper high over the UK. At the surface all the runs show high pressure over the UK. Evolution to day 7 ECM shows high pressure over the UK on day 6; on day 7 the high drifts eastwards. GFS has southerlies and SSW'lies over the UK on days 6 and 7 as high pressure moves slowly eastwards. Looking further afield Days 8 to 10 with ECM show southerlies and SSE'lies giving way to WSW'lies as high pressure moves away to the east, only to be followed by another high to the south on day 10. There are southerlies over the UK on day 8 with GFS due to a ridge to the east. A trough moves across the UK on day 9, leading to WSW'lies, followed by a ridge over the UK on day 10. Ensemble analysis http://www.meteociel.com/cartes_obs/...&ville=Londres GEFS shows a mild or very mild spell on the way. ECM ensembles http://www.meteogroup.co.uk/meteo/ep...tt6-london.gif ECM also shows mild weather on the way. |
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