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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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Just watched Nick Miller on the BBC news and he certainly does seem to be stressing the models forecast of showers and thunderstorms over Mid Devon and the SW of England later this afternoon, but at the moment convection is limited with unbroken sunshine all morning here. Temperature here now 14.9°C after a frost this morning -0.6°C
It may be right but it does look rather pessimistic with limited convection and just some patches of ci and cs. Almost a repeat of yesterday but a little cooler (yesterdays max 16.7° at Bradninch) |
#2
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On Apr 13, 1:42*pm, Bruce wrote:
Just watched Nick Miller on the BBC news and he certainly does seem to be stressing the models forecast of showers and thunderstorms over Mid Devon and the SW of England later this afternoon, but at the moment convection is limited with unbroken sunshine all morning here. Temperature here now 14.9°C after a frost this morning -0.6°C It may be right but it does look rather pessimistic with limited convection and just some patches of ci and cs. Almost a repeat of yesterday but a little cooler (yesterdays max 16.7° at Bradninch) ====================== Showers are developing rapidly over Dartmoor early afternoon (thunderstorms likely) and there are plenty over Cornwall slowly advecting ENE'wards. Stephen. |
#3
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Bruce wrote:
Just watched Nick Miller on the BBC news and he certainly does seem to be stressing the models forecast of showers and thunderstorms over Mid Devon and the SW of England later this afternoon, but at the moment convection is limited with unbroken sunshine all morning here. Temperature here now 14.9°C after a frost this morning -0.6°C It may be right but it does look rather pessimistic with limited convection and just some patches of ci and cs. Almost a repeat of yesterday but a little cooler (yesterdays max 16.7° at Bradninch) ------------------------ Well fingers crossed they don't come because I don't want waterlogged golf courses down there next week! Dave, sunny S.Essex. |
#4
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Yes you are correct they does seem to be an ENE drift to them the 12Z Camborne ascent has light winds at all levels up to 500 hPa.
hpa metres t dp rh ddd fff 995 88 7.8 5.8 87 130 2 992 113 8 3 71 170 2 985 172 7.4 3.5 77 265 2 978 231 6.8 4.1 83 275 5 961 375 5.4 3.5 87 300 11 952 452 4.6 3.1 90 298 11 940 556 3.8 2.3 90 295 11 938 573 3.6 2.2 91 295 11 929 652 2.8 1.9 94 292 12 925 687 2.6 1.6 93 290 12 924 696 2.5 1.5 93 290 12 919 740 2.2 1.2 93 295 12 911 810 1.8 0.3 90 303 12 894 962 0.8 -0.7 90 320 11 888 1016 0.5 -1 90 310 11 871 1171 -0.6 -2 90 270 5 869 1190 -0.7 -2.1 90 268 5 862 1254 -1.1 -2.2 92 259 7 859 1282 -1.2 -2.5 91 255 8 854 1329 -1.3 -2.9 89 255 7 850 1366 -1.7 -3.1 90 255 6 839 1470 -2.5 -3.6 92 219 5 828 1574 -3.1 -4.6 89 183 3 827 1584 -3.2 -4.6 90 180 3 818 1670 -3.7 -5 91 195 7 806 1787 -4.4 -5.4 92 180 1 804 1807 -4.5 -5.5 93 194 2 794 1905 -5.2 -7.8 82 265 8 793 1915 -5.3 -8 81 266 8 782 2024 -6 -8.8 81 280 7 769 2156 -6.8 -9.7 80 265 13 768 2166 -6.9 -9.8 80 263 13 759 2258 -7.5 -9.9 83 242 12 754 2309 -7.8 -10.2 83 230 11 743 2423 -8.5 -10.8 83 255 5 737 2486 -8.9 -11.2 84 230 4 728 2581 -9.5 -11.7 84 226 6 725 2613 -9.7 -11.8 85 225 6 718 2688 -10.3 -12 87 185 6 706 2817 -11 -13.3 83 95 2 705 2828 -11.1 -13.4 83 97 2 700 2883 -11.5 -13.5 85 105 2 693 2960 -12 -13.8 86 110 3 682 3082 -12.8 -14.4 88 230 1 676 3150 -13.3 -14.7 89 227 2 665 3274 -14.1 -15.8 87 220 3 652 3424 -15 -17 85 315 3 640 3565 -15.9 -18.2 82 287 6 627 3719 -17.3 -19.2 85 257 10 618 3828 -18.1 -20.4 82 235 12 612 3901 -18.7 -21.3 80 242 10 605 3986 -19.1 -21.2 83 250 7 592 4148 -20 -22.7 79 250 9 583 4262 -20.7 -23.8 76 253 7 576 4351 -21.3 -24.2 77 255 5 563 4519 -22.5 -25.9 73 260 2 556 4611 -23.1 -26.9 71 270 4 549 4703 -23.9 -27.2 74 280 6 539 4837 -24.9 -27.7 78 300 3 532 4933 -25.7 -28 81 291 5 510 5237 -27.9 -30.4 79 260 10 500 5380 -28.9 -31.5 78 265 7 Almost a repeat of yesterday but a little cooler (yesterdays max 16.7° at Bradninch) ====================== Showers are developing rapidly over Dartmoor early afternoon (thunderstorms likely) and there are plenty over Cornwall slowly advecting ENE'wards. Stephen. |
#5
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On Apr 13, 2:22*pm, Stephen Davenport wrote:
On Apr 13, 1:42*pm, Bruce wrote: Just watched Nick Miller on the BBC news and he certainly does seem to be stressing the models forecast of showers and thunderstorms over Mid Devon and the SW of England later this afternoon, but at the moment convection is limited with unbroken sunshine all morning here. Temperature here now 14..9°C after a frost this morning -0.6°C It may be right but it does look rather pessimistic with limited convection and just some patches of ci and cs. Almost a repeat of yesterday but a little cooler (yesterdays max 16.7° at Bradninch) ====================== Showers are developing rapidly over Dartmoor early afternoon (thunderstorms likely) and there are plenty over Cornwall slowly advecting ENE'wards. Stephen. A narrow belt of steady rain, rather than showers, crossed west Cornwall very slowly early/mid morning. Rain in Penzance 08:30 until 10:00. Since 10:30 increasing amounts of sunshine & light winds. A very nice afternoon, but very different in mid Cornwall where the rain has persisted and become heavier. The dark clouds up the County very evident as I had a drink on the prom this afternoon. Been lovely out on Scilly since 09:00 http://www.scillyman.co.uk/Web_Cam.html View from Land's End - small Cu & sparkly sea http://www.landsendweather.info/ Graham Penzance |
#6
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Never did get a shower yesterday and although it clouded up during the late afternoon and looked a bit threatening it passed by to the N. So all in all a good day in Bradninch with a max of 15.2°C and sunny spells till 1400Z.
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