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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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I'm planning to go to this if anyone else is interested and will
report back... "Will we have a White Xmas? Where will weather go in next 20yrs? Piers Corbyn explains - Open public event Friday 12.30" http://www.weatheraction.com/display....asp?a=505&c=5 |
#2
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Scott W wrote:
I'm planning to go to this if anyone else is interested and will report back... "Will we have a White Xmas? Where will weather go in next 20yrs? Piers Corbyn explains - Open public event Friday 12.30" http://www.weatheraction.com/display....asp?a=505&c=5 ----------------------------- Well if you do ask him why when his forecasts are wrong he pretends they were right! |
#3
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On Wednesday, 28 November 2012 23:31:13 UTC, Dave Cornwell wrote:
Scott W wrote: I'm planning to go to this if anyone else is interested and will report back... "Will we have a White Xmas? Where will weather go in next 20yrs? Piers Corbyn explains - Open public event Friday 12.30" http://www.weatheraction.com/display....asp?a=505&c=5 ----------------------------- Well if you do ask him why when his forecasts are wrong he pretends they were right! Unlike UKMO Dave Who immediatly accepted their dire failure after claiming on the 23rd March this year that April, May and June 2012 would be drier than avarge thus exacerbating the then drought conditions. Now where was that admittance that their forecast was plain wrong? Ermmm.... no they didn't did they . Oh well at least with Piers you have to aggree to pass money on to him whereas the other lot you have no choice. |
#4
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On Thu, 29 Nov 2012 10:33:46 -0800 (PST), Lawrence13
wrote: Who immediatly accepted their dire failure after claiming on the 23rd March= this year that April, May and June 2012 would be drier than avarge thus ex= acerbating the then drought conditions. I doubt they would've said "would be" drier than average. They use probabilites for forecasts going that far ahead. IIRC the "drier than average" scenario was exhibiting the highest probability, but not by much. A probability forecast offers no definitive "it will be like this" guidance. -- Freddie Bayston Hill Shropshire 102m AMSL http://www.hosiene.co.uk/weather/ https://twitter.com/#!/BaystonHillWx*for hourly reports* |
#5
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On Thursday, November 29, 2012 6:33:46 PM UTC, Lawrence13 wrote:
Now where was that admittance that their forecast was plain wrong? ========= There's a difference between issuing (or not) a mea culpa every time a forecast is wrong and claiming it was right when it was not. Stephen. |
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