Home |
Search |
Today's Posts |
![]() |
|
uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
Reply |
|
LinkBack | Thread Tools | Display Modes |
#1
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
Here is a summary of the NWP output for noon on Saturday.
Issued 0458, 26/02/13 High pressure will affect most areas over the weekend, bringing light winds and night frosts. Into next week it looks as though rain will eventually move up from the south as low pressure deepens to the SW. Analysis and evolution to T+120 via GFS A ridge over Scotland and Northern Ireland leads to light winds there, with NE'lies elsewhere. Tomorrow high pressure builds over the UK, followed by northerlies and NE'lies on Thursday as the high declines to the west. Friday sees more of the same. T+120 synopsis http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rtavn12014.png http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rtavn1201.png http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rukm1201.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Recm1201.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rjma1201.gif The jetstream chart shows a ridge over the UK with a westerly flow to the north and an ESE'ly flow to the west. At the 500hPa level there's a high, whereas the other models all have the upper high to the west with northerlies or NW'lies aloft. At the surface the models all show a ridge over Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England. Elsewhere winds are NE'lies or NNE'lies. Evolution to T+168 ECM shows high pressure on day 6 moving SE'wards on day 7, leading to a mixture of southerlies and SE'lies by then. GFS has a col on day 6 with easterlies picking up on day 7 as pressure falls to the south. Looking further afield Days 8 to 10 with ECM show a col giving way to easterlies as pressure falls to the SW. GFS has easterlies on days 8 to 10 with a trough to the south. Ensemble analysis http://www.meteociel.com/cartes_obs/...&ville=Londres The GEFS shows temperatures reaching average levels on the 4th, then rising to above-average from the 5th. ECM ensembles http://www.weathercast.co.uk/service...-forecast.html ECM also shows milder-than-average temperatures from the 5th, albeit with a good deal of scatter. |
Reply |
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
Display Modes | |
|
|
![]() |
||||
Thread | Forum | |||
Today's model interpretation (10/07/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (9/07/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (8/7/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (7/6/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (5/07/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) |