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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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If you look at the size of the consensus which supports the idea that CO2 is, or is highly likely to be the cause of the current warming.
Study a) 2013, peer-reviewed, 12,000 papers; 97% agree: http://www.abc.net.au/environment/ar...16/3759876.htm Study b) 2012 14,000 papers; well over 99% agree: http://www.desmogblog.com/2012/11/15...-one-pie-chart This consensus is supported by every single National science academy, every one of 660 scientific institutions and every government that attended Cancun, Doha and Rio. Me? I can't get away from the overwhelming avalanche of science that points to CO2. A sceptical part of me hopes for something different to come along and mean that we won't have to take enormously difficult and expensive decisions to reduce CO2 outputs (which will affect me), but if I see record global temperatures during the next El Nino, that will be enough to fully convince me of the role of CO2. There's overwhelmingly enough there for us to take action now. PS Cloudy and dry here; some sun. *)) |
#2
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On May 16, 12:03*pm, Dawlish wrote:
If you look at the size of the consensus which supports the idea that CO2 is, or is highly likely to be the cause of the current warming. This consensus is supported by every single National science academy, every one of 660 scientific institutions and every government that attended Cancun, Doha and Rio. Compelling evidence indeed. However, and I'm not looking for a fight here, but.................. Research papers are written by scientists/academics in receipt of funding from various awarding bodies around the world, who do seem to favour research into the causes and negative impacts of climate change, whilst those who might wish to research positive influences, or be pasrt of the AGW deniers alliance are refused funding. There are even anecdotal stoties of academics losing their jobs in universitie for not toeing the AGW line, and even TV presenters, like David Ballamy, beng cold shouldered for downplaying the anthropogenic influence on climate change. Just a thought, no personal axe to grind:-) Steve J |
#3
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Steve Jackson scrive:
On May 16, 12:03Â*pm, Dawlish wrote: If you look at the size of the consensus which supports the idea that CO2 is, or is highly likely to be the cause of the current warming. This consensus is supported by every single National science academy, every one of 660 scientific institutions and every government that attended Cancun, Doha and Rio. Compelling evidence indeed. However, and I'm not looking for a fight here, but.................. Research papers are written by scientists/academics in receipt of funding from various awarding bodies around the world, who do seem to favour research into the causes and negative impacts of climate change, whilst those who might wish to research positive influences, or be pasrt of the AGW deniers alliance are refused funding. There are even anecdotal stoties of academics losing their jobs in universitie for not toeing the AGW line, and even TV presenters, like David Ballamy, beng cold shouldered for downplaying the anthropogenic influence on climate change. Just a thought, no personal axe to grind:-) Steve J It seems popular to think that the scientists whose opinions one favour are independent right thinking persons funded by philanthropic benevolence while those on the opposing side are funded by evil corporate types peddling lies. Of course, none of that is true because scientists do what they are paid to do, whether that be finding the cure for cancer or making nicotine in cigarettes more potent. Being a scientist is much like being a dustman or a brain surgeon. It is paid employment, not some angelic enterprise. -- Gianna Peterhead, Scotland |
#4
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On Thursday, May 16, 2013 2:08:43 PM UTC+1, Steve Jackson wrote:
"Research papers are written by scientists/academics in receipt of funding from various awarding bodies around the world, who do seem to favour research into the causes and negative impacts of climate change, whilst those who might wish to research positive influences, or be pasrt of the AGW deniers alliance are refused funding." -- Evidence and examples, please. And there's an 'AGW deniers alliance'? "There are even anecdotal stoties of academics losing their jobs in universitie for not toeing the AGW line," -- Anecdotal and usually false. "...and even TV presenters, like David Ballamy, beng cold shouldered for downplaying the anthropogenic influence on climate change. By whom? Anyway, he doesn't merely 'downplay' it, he is in cohorts with the likes of M'Lord Moncktnon. And why does a botanist matter more than, say, an entomologist? Because he's been on telly? What other TV presenters, anyway? Stephen. |
#5
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On 16/05/2013 14:08, Steve Jackson wrote:
On May 16, 12:03 pm, Dawlish wrote: If you look at the size of the consensus which supports the idea that CO2 is, or is highly likely to be the cause of the current warming. This consensus is supported by every single National science academy, every one of 660 scientific institutions and every government that attended Cancun, Doha and Rio. Compelling evidence indeed. I don't really find a consensus any more compelling than one good experiment. I am reminded of a hundred (mostly anti-semitic) authors against Einstein - as he wryly remarked "If I were wrong, one would be enough.". However, and I'm not looking for a fight here, but.................. Research papers are written by scientists/academics in receipt of funding from various awarding bodies around the world, who do seem to favour research into the causes and negative impacts of climate change, whilst those who might wish to research positive influences, or be pasrt of the AGW deniers alliance are refused funding. There are Science actually advances by disproving the status quo. Any credible experiment that looked like it could determine more accurately the non-GHG non-TSI forcing contributions would be given a high priority for funding. If you read the IPCC science report you would see that it is an honest attempt to catalogue what is known and their relative uncertainties and where additional work is needed. The scientist who successfully disproved AGW would be in for a Nobel Prize. However, right whinging cranks on Usenet don't count at all. even anecdotal stoties of academics losing their jobs in universitie for not toeing the AGW line, and even TV presenters, like David Ballamy, beng cold shouldered for downplaying the anthropogenic influence on climate change. Don't you find it just a teeny weeny bit suspicious that most of the deniers and their sponsors are on the extreme ultra violet fringe of the Conservative party or even further to the right Republicans? (You can also find some Stalinists from coal mining regions of USSR) And they are absolutely certain that we can continue to pump CO2 forever with no problems, just as they were also in favour of using CFCs and smoking tobacco being good for you. Seriously: a very good way to spot deniers for hire is to look at their previous record for denying that CFCs damage the ozone layer or tobacco not causing cancer. Just a thought, no personal axe to grind:-) Steve J -- Regards, Martin Brown |
#6
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Buchan Meteo wrote:
Steve Jackson scrive: On May 16, 12:03 pm, Dawlish wrote: If you look at the size of the consensus which supports the idea that CO2 is, or is highly likely to be the cause of the current warming. This consensus is supported by every single National science academy, every one of 660 scientific institutions and every government that attended Cancun, Doha and Rio. Compelling evidence indeed. However, and I'm not looking for a fight here, but.................. Research papers are written by scientists/academics in receipt of funding from various awarding bodies around the world, who do seem to favour research into the causes and negative impacts of climate change, whilst those who might wish to research positive influences, or be pasrt of the AGW deniers alliance are refused funding. There are even anecdotal stoties of academics losing their jobs in universitie for not toeing the AGW line, and even TV presenters, like David Ballamy, beng cold shouldered for downplaying the anthropogenic influence on climate change. Just a thought, no personal axe to grind:-) Steve J It seems popular to think that the scientists whose opinions one favour are independent right thinking persons funded by philanthropic benevolence while those on the opposing side are funded by evil corporate types peddling lies. Of course, none of that is true because scientists do what they are paid to do, whether that be finding the cure for cancer or making nicotine in cigarettes more potent. Being a scientist is much like being a dustman or a brain surgeon. It is paid employment, not some angelic enterprise. ------------------------------------- Whilst in essence what you say is true Gianna, it should not be extrapolated to imply that findings are not genuine. If so it would be more a human flaw attributable to anyone. As a formerly employed Scientist and a member of The Royal Society of Chemistry I effectively took the equivalent of the Hippocratic oath and never allowed my employer to pressurise me (and they tried) to modify any of the analytical data I was responsible for managing. My experience was that the majority of Scientists were of this view. Dave |
#7
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On 16/05/2013 21:40, Dave Cornwell wrote:
Buchan Meteo wrote: Steve Jackson scrive: On May 16, 12:03 pm, Dawlish wrote: If you look at the size of the consensus which supports the idea that CO2 is, or is highly likely to be the cause of the current warming. This consensus is supported by every single National science academy, every one of 660 scientific institutions and every government that attended Cancun, Doha and Rio. Compelling evidence indeed. However, and I'm not looking for a fight here, but.................. Research papers are written by scientists/academics in receipt of funding from various awarding bodies around the world, who do seem to favour research into the causes and negative impacts of climate change, whilst those who might wish to research positive influences, or be pasrt of the AGW deniers alliance are refused funding. There are even anecdotal stoties of academics losing their jobs in universitie for not toeing the AGW line, and even TV presenters, like David Ballamy, beng cold shouldered for downplaying the anthropogenic influence on climate change. Just a thought, no personal axe to grind:-) Steve J It seems popular to think that the scientists whose opinions one favour are independent right thinking persons funded by philanthropic benevolence while those on the opposing side are funded by evil corporate types peddling lies. Not necessarily corporate types some of the biggest offenders are ultra far right US "think tanks" that are hidden proxies for big oil and coal. Of course, none of that is true because scientists do what they are paid to do, whether that be finding the cure for cancer or making nicotine in cigarettes more potent. Being a scientist is much like being a dustman or a brain surgeon. It is paid employment, not some angelic enterprise. Not true - at least in academia the object is to discover something that turns the status quo upside down and requires a major rethink. The best researchers are always looking to find holes in existing models in whatever field they are researching. And even in commercial research most scientists are ethical with a handful notable exceptions who have sold their souls to for example big tobacco or illegal drug synthesis. It is no coincidence that ex-tobacco lobbyists form the backbone of the AGW denial industry. ------------------------------------- Whilst in essence what you say is true Gianna, it should not be extrapolated to imply that findings are not genuine. If so it would be more a human flaw attributable to anyone. As a formerly employed Scientist and a member of The Royal Society of Chemistry I effectively took the equivalent of the Hippocratic oath and never allowed my employer to pressurise me (and they tried) to modify any of the analytical data I was responsible for managing. My experience was that the majority of Scientists were of this view. Dave You do get exceptions though and most of them are virulent AGW deniers. The canonical denier for hire was the late Fred Singer who orchestrated one of the first loads of signatures of ultraright whingers against AGW. He had previous for helping big tobacco deny that smoking causes cancer (a claim they can still just about defend on oath with a very cleverly legally crafted form of words - strictly it doesn't *cause* cancer only make cancer much more likely in a high proportion of the population) And here is what his employers thought of him before he got involved in AGW (with thanks to the US freedom of information act). http://legacy.library.ucsf.edu/tid/h...53.to bacco03 The Oregon Petition was almost a decade later. -- Regards, Martin Brown |
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