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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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On Sunday, September 29, 2013 8:44:21 AM UTC+1, yttiw wrote:
On 2013-09-28 20:34:53 +0000, Dawlish said: On Saturday, September 28, 2013 8:14:21 PM UTC+1, yttiw wrote: On 2013-09-28 12:30:00 +0000, Adam Lea said: On 28/09/13 10:50, yttiw wrote: I notice that the BBC have finally been forced to admit that the rapidly rising global mean temperature curve has shuddered to a halt since 1998. *sigh* Not this again. http://www.skepticalscience.com/graphics.php?g=47 The irony of linking to a site that does not fit the line to their own curve properly is obviously lost on you. You could try the official graph here - http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/info/warming/gtc.pdf But presumably you are tired of this "nonsense" from the Hadley Centre as well? I am not a denier by any means, but after being overly patronised when the first few years after 1998 seemed to buck the previous 30 year trend, I tended to take more than a passing interest in the subsequent years. Now, it would seem that even after 15 years of flatlining graphs, the patronisers still rush to impose their self righteous views on me, as if I had just crawled from under a stone. Don't take it to heart, Have a read of AR5 and see why taking 1998, the year of the strongest El Nino in recent times, as a baseline for any judgement about GW is a very unscientific thing to do. *)) I am not taking it to heart. There is not much that I can do about it, though. I already try and conserve energy wherever I can, and have cut my car use quite dramatically over the past few years. I have looked into solar panels for my roof, but the installer said that because of the position of next doors' house, which casts a shadow over my roof after about 2pm, there is not enough sunlight there to make it worthwhile. I do not mind wind turbines, or barrages across estuaries, but it seems that governments are influenced enough to kick these projects into the long grass. I can see that taking 1998 as a baseline is probably naive, but then a lot of graphs take the years after Krakatoa as their starting point, presumably because global temperatures were more depressed at that time, and it makes for a more dramatic rise. Then "graphs taking Krakatoa as a baseline" would be just as naïve and don't excuse you from starting with 1998. Please link to those graphs, if you wish to state that. Look at Mann's research. You will see the acceleration in warming clearly and that acceleration had now been confirmed in over 30 peer reviewed papers since. The criticism of Mann's work has been roundly and clearly rebutted. |
#12
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On Sunday, 29 September 2013 09:58:30 UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, September 29, 2013 8:44:21 AM UTC+1, yttiw wrote: On 2013-09-28 20:34:53 +0000, Dawlish said: On Saturday, September 28, 2013 8:14:21 PM UTC+1, yttiw wrote: On 2013-09-28 12:30:00 +0000, Adam Lea said: On 28/09/13 10:50, yttiw wrote: I notice that the BBC have finally been forced to admit that the rapidly rising global mean temperature curve has shuddered to a halt since 1998. *sigh* Not this again. http://www.skepticalscience.com/graphics.php?g=47 The irony of linking to a site that does not fit the line to their own curve properly is obviously lost on you. You could try the official graph here - http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/info/warming/gtc.pdf But presumably you are tired of this "nonsense" from the Hadley Centre as well? I am not a denier by any means, but after being overly patronised when the first few years after 1998 seemed to buck the previous 30 year trend, I tended to take more than a passing interest in the subsequent years. Now, it would seem that even after 15 years of flatlining graphs, the patronisers still rush to impose their self righteous views on me, as if I had just crawled from under a stone. Don't take it to heart, Have a read of AR5 and see why taking 1998, the year of the strongest El Nino in recent times, as a baseline for any judgement about GW is a very unscientific thing to do. *)) I am not taking it to heart. There is not much that I can do about it, though. I already try and conserve energy wherever I can, and have cut my car use quite dramatically over the past few years. I have looked into solar panels for my roof, but the installer said that because of the position of next doors' house, which casts a shadow over my roof after about 2pm, there is not enough sunlight there to make it worthwhile. I do not mind wind turbines, or barrages across estuaries, but it seems that governments are influenced enough to kick these projects into the long grass. I can see that taking 1998 as a baseline is probably naive, but then a lot of graphs take the years after Krakatoa as their starting point, presumably because global temperatures were more depressed at that time, and it makes for a more dramatic rise. Then "graphs taking Krakatoa as a baseline" would be just as naïve and don't excuse you from starting with 1998. Please link to those graphs, if you wish to state that. Look at Mann's research. You will see the acceleration in warming clearly and that acceleration had now been confirmed in over 30 peer reviewed papers since. The criticism of Mann's work has been roundly and clearly rebutted. What three trees and a Neolithic lolly stick go to create a wet dream for AGW's and create hockey schtick !!!! About as representative of real life as a St Trinians films and that would make you garvey the George Cole character Flash Harry http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sEyRVWpSYoo |
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