Once a pattern becomes established, It is hard to change. A simple extension to my forecast of 3 days ago. Looking for the change now.

**On Wednesday, 30th Oct, the UK will be continuing to experience Zonal, Atlantic weather, with depressions bringing an alternation of rain bands, showers and ridges of high pressure. Windy weather will be common in many areas and there is the possibility of gales at times. Despite some cooler period with NW winds, temperatures throughout the period will be generally warmer than average, the chance of frosts being limited to ridges of high pressure between low pressure systems. Pressure will be higher over continental Europe. Rainfall will be above average for most areas and some areas, especially the West, may be very wet.**

A zonal train. First time we've had this for a long time.

On Sunday, October 20, 2013 9:00:51 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:
Once a pattern becomes established, It is hard to change. A simple extension to my forecast of 3 days ago. Looking for the change now.



**On Wednesday, 30th Oct, the UK will be continuing to experience Zonal, Atlantic weather, with depressions bringing an alternation of rain bands, showers and ridges of high pressure. Windy weather will be common in many areas and there is the possibility of gales at times. Despite some cooler period with NW winds, temperatures throughout the period will be generally warmer than average, the chance of frosts being limited to ridges of high pressure between low pressure systems. Pressure will be higher over continental Europe. Rainfall will be above average for most areas and some areas, espal train looks like it will viecially the West, may be very wet.**



A zonal train. First time we've had this for a long time.

Again, hints of something different on the operationals last night but again, just model froth and the zonal train looks as if it could roll on into the start of November.

On 2013-10-22 09:13:48 +0000, Dawlish said:

On Sunday, October 20, 2013 9:00:51 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:
Once a pattern becomes established, It is hard to change. A simple
extension to my forecast of 3 days ago. Looking for the change now.
**On Wednesday, 30th Oct, the UK will be continuing to experience
Zonal, Atlantic weather, with depressions bringing an alternation of
rain bands, showers and ridges of high pressure. Windy weather will be
common in many areas and there is the possibility of gales at times.
Despite some cooler period with NW winds, temperatures throughout the
period will be generally warmer than average, the chance of frosts
being limited to ridges of high pressure between low pressure systems.
Pressure will be higher over continental Europe. Rainfall will be above
average for most areas and some areas, espal train looks like it will
viecially the West, may be very wet.**



A zonal train. First time we've had this for a long time.

Again, hints of something different on the operationals last night but
again, just model froth and the zonal train looks as if it could roll
on into the start of November.

According to the asylum that is the Daily Express, the "storm of the
century" is only a few days away -
http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/438...o-lash-Britain

On Tuesday, October 22, 2013 12:08:14 PM UTC+1, yttiw wrote:
On 2013-10-22 09:13:48 +0000, Dawlish said:



On Sunday, October 20, 2013 9:00:51 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:

Once a pattern becomes established, It is hard to change. A simple

extension to my forecast of 3 days ago. Looking for the change now.

**On Wednesday, 30th Oct, the UK will be continuing to experience

Zonal, Atlantic weather, with depressions bringing an alternation of

rain bands, showers and ridges of high pressure. Windy weather will be

common in many areas and there is the possibility of gales at times.

Despite some cooler period with NW winds, temperatures throughout the

period will be generally warmer than average, the chance of frosts

being limited to ridges of high pressure between low pressure systems.

Pressure will be higher over continental Europe. Rainfall will be above

average for most areas and some areas, espal train looks like it will

viecially the West, may be very wet.**







A zonal train. First time we've had this for a long time.



Again, hints of something different on the operationals last night but

again, just model froth and the zonal train looks as if it could roll

on into the start of November.



According to the asylum that is the Daily Express, the "storm of the

century" is only a few days away -

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/438...o-lash-Britain

Yes, amazing isn't it? There will be a gust of 90mph on Cairngorm, or at Sule Skerry (hardly unusual in October) and gales elsewhere (there will almost certainly be gales elsewhere and especially in the West) and Powell and the Express will claim they were absolutely correct.

One day he'll forecast "fairly mild and breezy" and the Express will plaster it over the front page and page 5; but probably not in our lifetimes. *))

On Tuesday, October 22, 2013 12:08:14 PM UTC+1, yttiw wrote:
On 2013-10-22 09:13:48 +0000, Dawlish said:



On Sunday, October 20, 2013 9:00:51 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:

Once a pattern becomes established, It is hard to change. A simple

extension to my forecast of 3 days ago. Looking for the change now.

**On Wednesday, 30th Oct, the UK will be continuing to experience

Zonal, Atlantic weather, with depressions bringing an alternation of

rain bands, showers and ridges of high pressure. Windy weather will be

common in many areas and there is the possibility of gales at times.

Despite some cooler period with NW winds, temperatures throughout the

period will be generally warmer than average, the chance of frosts

being limited to ridges of high pressure between low pressure systems.

Pressure will be higher over continental Europe. Rainfall will be above

average for most areas and some areas, espal train looks like it will

viecially the West, may be very wet.**







A zonal train. First time we've had this for a long time.



Again, hints of something different on the operationals last night but

again, just model froth and the zonal train looks as if it could roll

on into the start of November.



According to the asylum that is the Daily Express, the "storm of the

century" is only a few days away -

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/438...o-lash-Britain

Dunno about 90mph+ gales, but there's a zonal train running straight into November from tonight's charts.

According to the asylum that is the Daily Express, the "storm of the

century" is only a few days away -

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/438...o-lash-Britain

Blimey few days a go it was going to be the Coldest & snowiest November on
record now it's going to me mild with rain, gales and storm of the century,
these people really do need to make up their minds
Why does anyone buy this garbage!!


Graham

On Wednesday, October 23, 2013 6:14:09 PM UTC+1, Graham wrote:


According to the asylum that is the Daily Express, the "storm of the



century" is only a few days away -



http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/438...o-lash-Britain



Blimey few days a go it was going to be the Coldest & snowiest November on

record now it's going to me mild with rain, gales and storm of the century,

these people really do need to make up their minds

Why does anyone buy this garbage!!

Graham

It completely beats me! 00z gfs continues the zonal theme.

On Wednesday, 23 October 2013 18:14:09 UTC+1, Graham wrote:


According to the asylum that is the Daily Express, the "storm of the



century" is only a few days away -



http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/438...o-lash-Britain



Blimey few days a go it was going to be the Coldest & snowiest November on

record now it's going to me mild with rain, gales and storm of the century,

these people really do need to make up their minds

Why does anyone buy this garbage!!





Graham

I think in the days before the internet we absolutely starved of up to date weather info and any news item or snippet where a LRF was made was eagerly gobbled up. Why as a kid I even use to look at the monthly forecasts in old Moores almanac. On a daily basis besides the TV forecast and the newspapers that was it. I remember just pre internet days when weather companies gave their forecast for a high rate by telephone and even though I knew they were tripe I still wanted to hear of an imminent freezing spell.


Of course us lot that love weather are much moor informed and sophisticated and have been through this stuff on the internet so often with it being rubbish that we just ignore it-remember the Tom Presutti debacle over on The Weather Outlook, But we've all grown out of that now however the general public are not us and they still lap it up.

A good forecast for today. There was no surety at the time and indeed, this zonal spell was only just beginning and tomorrow's 'storm of the century' didn't exist - except in the fevered imagination of a few who'd figured out it was coming as far back as March.

On Sunday, October 27, 2013 12:33:35 PM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
A good forecast for today. There was no surety at the time and indeed, this zonal spell was only just beginning and tomorrow's 'storm of the century' didn't exist - except in the fevered imagination of a few who'd figured out it was coming as far back as March.

Well it would have been if it was for today! Still looking good for the 30th, mind.