Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
On Saturday, 23 November 2013 09:30:57 UTC, Dawlish wrote:

Would this be a "difficult" time to forecast, or does anyone feel
that the 10-day forecast for 3rd December is another easy one?

IDIOT

Lawrence, please don't lower yourself to his level.
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg

On Saturday, 23 November 2013 12:46:12 UTC, Col wrote:
Lawrence Jenkins wrote:

On Saturday, 23 November 2013 09:30:57 UTC, Dawlish wrote:



Would this be a "difficult" time to forecast, or does anyone feel

that the 10-day forecast for 3rd December is another easy one?



IDIOT



Lawrence, please don't lower yourself to his level.

--

Col



Bolton, Lancashire

160m asl

Snow videos:

http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg

It was a test run, just trying it out.

Lawrence Jenkins wrote:

It was a test run, just trying it out.

It worked.
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg

On Saturday, November 23, 2013 9:30:57 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Monday, November 18, 2013 8:15:34 PM UTC, Dawlish wrote:

Probably a better way of phrasing this is to highlight the pressure regime, rather than the wind direction.







**On 28th Nov, at T+240, the UK will be under the influence of an anticyclone. Night frosts will be common, if the skies clear and the east coast may be subject to wintry showers, if there is a flow over the UK from the North Sea, but the main weather type is likely to be cool, with grey skies and generally light winds. **







There will be no gales around the 27th/28th November in the UK, this year. *))



I doubt whether this forecast won't achieve outcome now (must be one of the easier forecasts, again, I suppose?). It also looks as if the HP will extend beyond the 28th, but possibly not to T+240, unless the models (especially the GEM) show more agreement than they do this morning. My confidence in that happening is not high enough.



Would this be a "difficult" time to forecast, or does anyone feel that the 10-day forecast for 3rd December is another easy one?

I think I was right not to have confidence enough to forecast yesterday. The chances of high pressure dominating the UK weather in 10 days, on 4th Dec are under 80% for me. The situation for a European High (Bartlett) sending mild South-Westerlies over the UK, I would give a lower probability that that.

On Monday, November 18, 2013 8:15:34 PM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
Probably a better way of phrasing this is to highlight the pressure regime, rather than the wind direction.



**On 28th Nov, at T+240, the UK will be under the influence of an anticyclone. Night frosts will be common, if the skies clear and the east coast may be subject to wintry showers, if there is a flow over the UK from the North Sea, but the main weather type is likely to be cool, with grey skies and generally light winds. **



There will be no gales around the 27th/28th November in the UK, this year.. *))

A good forecast. Not cold enough for witty showers, but cool and grey characterises much of the UK's weather today.

On Thursday, 28 November 2013 21:47:03 UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Monday, November 18, 2013 8:15:34 PM UTC, Dawlish wrote:

Probably a better way of phrasing this is to highlight the pressure regime, rather than the wind direction.







**On 28th Nov, at T+240, the UK will be under the influence of an anticyclone. Night frosts will be common, if the skies clear and the east coast may be subject to wintry showers, if there is a flow over the UK from the North Sea, but the main weather type is likely to be cool, with grey skies and generally light winds. **







There will be no gales around the 27th/28th November in the UK, this year. *))



A good forecast. Not cold enough for witty showers, but cool and grey characterises much of the UK's weather today.

"witty shower"


Funny weather we've been having lately

Why do I get the feeling this High to the south and south west is going
stick around for a long time and give us a really boring winter with the
same old sh*te day after day, week after week!!
Wouldn't mind if we saw the sun every now and again, fat chance this week.


Graham

In article ,
Graham writes:


Why do I get the feeling this High to the south and south west is
going stick around for a long time and give us a really boring
winter with the same old sh*te day after day, week after week!!

Because you're a natural pessimist?

Wouldn't mind if we saw the sun every now and again, fat chance this week.

Yes, it's been very gloomy here as well for the last few days.
--
John Hall "He crams with cans of poisoned meat
The subjects of the King,
And when they die by thousands G.K.Chesterton:
Why, he laughs like anything." from "Song Against Grocers"

On Thursday, 28 November 2013 22:37:55 UTC, Graham wrote:
Why do I get the feeling this High to the south and south west is going stick around for a long time and give us a really boring winter with the same old sh*te day after day, week after week!! Wouldn't mind if we saw the sun every now and again, fat chance this week. Graham

Because although we've been spoilt in recent years that is usually the norm..

Because you're a natural pessimist?

Ah help is at hand though John!
Mr Dawlish hints at the atlantic weather coming back after a short cold
spell with a few witty showers, so at least we should see some sun in
between the bands of rain


Graham