Just picked this off Twitter, gives a bit of detail right up to Saturday.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/25553418
Some hints were given of some changes later in January, but doesn't seem like much of a change from what I'm reading.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
"Weather Home & Abroad"
Twitter: @LawnscienceEssx

Just picked this off Twitter, gives a bit of detail right up to Saturday.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/25553418
Some hints were given of some changes later in January, but doesn't seem
like much of a change from what I'm reading.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

Anyone waiting for snow may have to wait until February at least looking at
the forecast charts!
At least I won't have to worry about getting to work, unlike the first
three months of 2013
Looking like a very mild, rather dry and quite sunny December here in North
Staffs.


Graham

Graham wrote:


Just picked this off Twitter, gives a bit of detail right up to Saturday.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/25553418
Some hints were given of some changes later in January, but doesn't
seem like much of a change from what I'm reading.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

Anyone waiting for snow may have to wait until February at least looking
at the forecast charts!
At least I won't have to worry about getting to work, unlike the first
three months of 2013
Looking like a very mild, rather dry and quite sunny December here in
North Staffs.


Graham
-------------------------------------------------------

Exacta have written off the worst blizzards of all time for December but
are just postponing the cold spell by a month or two ;-)

"The Arctic Oscillation (AO) is also now switching to a strongly
negative phase, and The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is also
trending towards a more neutral/weakly negative phase, in-line with the
expectations of the original long-range winter 2013/14 forecast for the
most significant snow and cold this winter. This will allow cold Arctic
air to flood in and extend much further south than usual, whilst
inducing a blocking pattern across the UK and Ireland. This will result
in frequent and widespread snow events (even at lower levels) and a
gradual increase in much colder temperatures across many parts of the
country throughout January and February. However, a brief return to a
more positive (NAO) may also be plausible in the early part of January,
before a somewhat sealed in negative (NAO) phase actually occurs (in
combination with a strongly negative AO phase).


A potentially milder few days and rather stormy start to the new year is
likely to develop, before the remainder of the month turns progressively
colder with the development of widespread wintry weather from around the
5th January onwards (especially in the second half of the month)."

I love the last sentence.
I reckon if we get some snow in February or March they should be able to
claim their winter forecast as spot on!

On Monday, 30 December 2013 23:14:00 UTC, Dave Cornwell wrote:
Graham wrote:





Just picked this off Twitter, gives a bit of detail right up to Saturday.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/25553418

Some hints were given of some changes later in January, but doesn't

seem like much of a change from what I'm reading.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook



Anyone waiting for snow may have to wait until February at least looking

at the forecast charts!

At least I won't have to worry about getting to work, unlike the first

three months of 2013

Looking like a very mild, rather dry and quite sunny December here in

North Staffs.





Graham

-------------------------------------------------------



Exacta have written off the worst blizzards of all time for December but

are just postponing the cold spell by a month or two ;-)



"The Arctic Oscillation (AO) is also now switching to a strongly

negative phase, and The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is also

trending towards a more neutral/weakly negative phase, in-line with the

expectations of the original long-range winter 2013/14 forecast for the

most significant snow and cold this winter. This will allow cold Arctic

air to flood in and extend much further south than usual, whilst

inducing a blocking pattern across the UK and Ireland. This will result

in frequent and widespread snow events (even at lower levels) and a

gradual increase in much colder temperatures across many parts of the

country throughout January and February. However, a brief return to a

more positive (NAO) may also be plausible in the early part of January,

before a somewhat sealed in negative (NAO) phase actually occurs (in

combination with a strongly negative AO phase).





A potentially milder few days and rather stormy start to the new year is

likely to develop, before the remainder of the month turns progressively

colder with the development of widespread wintry weather from around the

5th January onwards (especially in the second half of the month)."



I love the last sentence.

I reckon if we get some snow in February or March they should be able to

claim their winter forecast as spot on!

This winter start reminds me of 83/84

On Monday, December 30, 2013 11:14:00 PM UTC, Dave Cornwell wrote:
Graham wrote:





Just picked this off Twitter, gives a bit of detail right up to Saturday.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/25553418

Some hints were given of some changes later in January, but doesn't

seem like much of a change from what I'm reading.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook



Anyone waiting for snow may have to wait until February at least looking

at the forecast charts!

At least I won't have to worry about getting to work, unlike the first

three months of 2013

Looking like a very mild, rather dry and quite sunny December here in

North Staffs.





Graham

-------------------------------------------------------



Exacta have written off the worst blizzards of all time for December but

are just postponing the cold spell by a month or two ;-)



"The Arctic Oscillation (AO) is also now switching to a strongly

negative phase, and The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is also

trending towards a more neutral/weakly negative phase, in-line with the

expectations of the original long-range winter 2013/14 forecast for the

most significant snow and cold this winter. This will allow cold Arctic

air to flood in and extend much further south than usual, whilst

inducing a blocking pattern across the UK and Ireland. This will result

in frequent and widespread snow events (even at lower levels) and a

gradual increase in much colder temperatures across many parts of the

country throughout January and February. However, a brief return to a

more positive (NAO) may also be plausible in the early part of January,

before a somewhat sealed in negative (NAO) phase actually occurs (in

combination with a strongly negative AO phase).





A potentially milder few days and rather stormy start to the new year is

likely to develop, before the remainder of the month turns progressively

colder with the development of widespread wintry weather from around the

5th January onwards (especially in the second half of the month)."



I love the last sentence.

I reckon if we get some snow in February or March they should be able to

claim their winter forecast as spot on!

That's exactly what these people do.

In article ,
Dave Cornwell writes:
Exacta have written off the worst blizzards of all time for
December but are just postponing the cold spell by a month or two
;-)

"The Arctic Oscillation (AO) is also now switching to a strongly
negative phase, and The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is also
trending towards a more neutral/weakly negative phase
snip

Is it? The NAO looks hugely positive to me, looking at the number of
very deep lows that have been passing not far from Iceland, and that are
forecast to continue to do so for at least the next ten days and
probably longer. One wonders if Exacta knows what the definition of the
NAO actually is.
--
John Hall "He crams with cans of poisoned meat
The subjects of the King,
And when they die by thousands G.K.Chesterton:
Why, he laughs like anything." from "Song Against Grocers"

On Tuesday, December 31, 2013 1:16:55 AM UTC, Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
On Monday, 30 December 2013 23:14:00 UTC, Dave Cornwell wrote:

Graham wrote:











Just picked this off Twitter, gives a bit of detail right up to Saturday.



http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/25553418



Some hints were given of some changes later in January, but doesn't



seem like much of a change from what I'm reading.



http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook







Anyone waiting for snow may have to wait until February at least looking



at the forecast charts!



At least I won't have to worry about getting to work, unlike the first



three months of 2013



Looking like a very mild, rather dry and quite sunny December here in



North Staffs.











Graham



-------------------------------------------------------







Exacta have written off the worst blizzards of all time for December but



are just postponing the cold spell by a month or two ;-)







"The Arctic Oscillation (AO) is also now switching to a strongly



negative phase, and The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is also



trending towards a more neutral/weakly negative phase, in-line with the



expectations of the original long-range winter 2013/14 forecast for the



most significant snow and cold this winter. This will allow cold Arctic



air to flood in and extend much further south than usual, whilst



inducing a blocking pattern across the UK and Ireland. This will result



in frequent and widespread snow events (even at lower levels) and a



gradual increase in much colder temperatures across many parts of the



country throughout January and February. However, a brief return to a



more positive (NAO) may also be plausible in the early part of January,



before a somewhat sealed in negative (NAO) phase actually occurs (in



combination with a strongly negative AO phase).











A potentially milder few days and rather stormy start to the new year is



likely to develop, before the remainder of the month turns progressively



colder with the development of widespread wintry weather from around the



5th January onwards (especially in the second half of the month)."







I love the last sentence.



I reckon if we get some snow in February or March they should be able to



claim their winter forecast as spot on!



This winter start reminds me of 83/84

WHY!!!

John Hall wrote:
In article ,
Dave Cornwell writes:
Exacta have written off the worst blizzards of all time for
December but are just postponing the cold spell by a month or two
;-)

"The Arctic Oscillation (AO) is also now switching to a strongly
negative phase, and The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is also
trending towards a more neutral/weakly negative phase
snip

Is it? The NAO looks hugely positive to me, looking at the number of
very deep lows that have been passing not far from Iceland, and that are
forecast to continue to do so for at least the next ten days and
probably longer. One wonders if Exacta knows what the definition of the
NAO actually is.
----------------------------------------------
I thought that. I doubt if they do going on their track record.