uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

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Old April 4th 14, 07:44 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default High pressure and high spring at T+240?

After a period of the models lacking agreement and consistency, the operationals of gfs ECM and GEM agree, this morning. High pressure and settled, warm weather at T+240 would take us to almost mid-month and would make a warmer than average spring highly likely. See if consistency develops during today.
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Old April 4th 14, 09:03 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default High pressure and high spring at T+240?

Dawlish wrote:
After a period of the models lacking agreement and consistency, the operationals of gfs ECM and GEM agree, this morning. High pressure and settled, warm weather at T+240 would take us to almost mid-month and would make a warmer than average spring highly likely. See if consistency develops during today.

------------------------------------------------
No doubt if it is your sycophantic MP will praise the super human David
Cameron for it!
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Old April 4th 14, 11:10 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default High pressure and high spring at T+240?

On Friday, April 4, 2014 10:03:46 AM UTC+1, Dave Cornwell wrote:
Dawlish wrote:

After a period of the models lacking agreement and consistency, the operationals of gfs ECM and GEM agree, this morning. High pressure and settled, warm weather at T+240 would take us to almost mid-month and would make a warmer than average spring highly likely. See if consistency develops during today.


------------------------------------------------

No doubt if it is your sycophantic MP will praise the super human David

Cameron for it!


Marvellous isn't she?

Just seen Cameron at Dawlish station. That was a photo opportunity that he could *not* afford to miss!
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Old April 4th 14, 11:54 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default High pressure and high spring at T+240?

On Friday, April 4, 2014 10:03:46 AM UTC+1, Dave Cornwell wrote:
Dawlish wrote:

After a period of the models lacking agreement and consistency, the operationals of gfs ECM and GEM agree, this morning. High pressure and settled, warm weather at T+240 would take us to almost mid-month and would make a warmer than average spring highly likely. See if consistency develops during today.


------------------------------------------------

No doubt if it is your sycophantic MP will praise the super human David

Cameron for it!


06z gfs promises marvellous weather at T+240.
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Old April 4th 14, 08:34 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default High pressure and high spring at T+240?

On Friday, April 4, 2014 12:54:41 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:
On Friday, April 4, 2014 10:03:46 AM UTC+1, Dave Cornwell wrote:

Dawlish wrote:




After a period of the models lacking agreement and consistency, the operationals of gfs ECM and GEM agree, this morning. High pressure and settled, warm weather at T+240 would take us to almost mid-month and would make a warmer than average spring highly likely. See if consistency develops during today.




------------------------------------------------




No doubt if it is your sycophantic MP will praise the super human David




Cameron for it!




06z gfs promises marvellous weather at T+240.


However, ECM 12z doesn't want to play ball..............


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Old April 5th 14, 07:20 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default High pressure and high spring at T+240?

On Friday, April 4, 2014 9:34:04 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:
On Friday, April 4, 2014 12:54:41 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:

On Friday, April 4, 2014 10:03:46 AM UTC+1, Dave Cornwell wrote:


Dawlish wrote:


After a period of the models lacking agreement and consistency, the operationals of gfs ECM and GEM agree, this morning. High pressure and settled, warm weather at T+240 would take us to almost mid-month and would make a warmer than average spring highly likely. See if consistency develops during today.


No doubt if it is your sycophantic MP will praise the super human David


Cameron for it!


06z gfs promises marvellous weather at T+240.


However, ECM 12z doesn't want to play ball..............


And the 00z ECM sits a fat high right over the UK at 10 days. See if that is still there this evening.
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Old April 5th 14, 10:49 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default High pressure and high spring at T+240?

On Saturday, April 5, 2014 8:20:40 AM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:
On Friday, April 4, 2014 9:34:04 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:

On Friday, April 4, 2014 12:54:41 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:




On Friday, April 4, 2014 10:03:46 AM UTC+1, Dave Cornwell wrote:




Dawlish wrote:




After a period of the models lacking agreement and consistency, the operationals of gfs ECM and GEM agree, this morning. High pressure and settled, warm weather at T+240 would take us to almost mid-month and would make a warmer than average spring highly likely. See if consistency develops during today.




No doubt if it is your sycophantic MP will praise the super human David




Cameron for it!




06z gfs promises marvellous weather at T+240.




However, ECM 12z doesn't want to play ball..............




And the 00z ECM sits a fat high right over the UK at 10 days. See if that is still there this evening.


And the 06z gfs is really not as keen. There's a lack of consistency that is preventing me from being confident enough ATM of the outcome to forecast..

Again, if anyone else would like to have a go at forecasting at 10 days, based on the current output, I wish you good luck. Best guess: anticyclonic conditions, but I wouldn't be 80% confident of that.
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