50% chance according to http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/cyclones/?atlc. Of course it may just be an East Pacific increase: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/cyclones/?epac. Come back noon tomorrow for an upgrade.

On Monday, 30 June 2014 13:51:48 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
50% chance according to http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/cyclones/?atlc. Of course it may just be an East Pacific increase: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/cyclones/?epac. Come back noon tomorrow for an upgrade.

This is silly:
http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
Three storms all on the same track. They are actually one storm and its name is Amanda. Conditions never cease from being wild down that neck of the woods from April on. The only difference is that once they drop below storm frequency, they drop off the named list.

If it wasn't for class distinction they would all be called Amanda this year.

Well we finally got One:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml#contents

I have never seen the Antarctic in such a phase of upset. Every continent surrounding Antarctica has a cyclone bridging the Southern Ocean. Such a situation has to have reached its peak, as witnessed by the break-up of such phenomena as soon as they connect. I can only imagine the signal for tropical storms must be related in some way to that spark-plug like effect.

Subtilius cogitationis BoM site.

On Tuesday, 1 July 2014 08:40:56 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
Well we finally got One:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml#contents

They have just changed the make up of their site no doubt to some sort of Adobe malware. One way or another there don't appear to be any storms on that site at the moment:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac&fdays=5

TSR say differently of course:
http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
Three storms on there and one of them an Atlantic hurricane on the 4th July. Happy birthday UniStatiA. Going to have to kick you out of my must read sites.

I never liked the CIA drug lords and world perditionists anyway. Now they have soaked in the NSA KoolAid too long it is good riddance.
I suppose there is always Unisys.

On Tuesday, 1 July 2014 19:52:03 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Tuesday, 1 July 2014 08:40:56 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:

Well we finally got One:



http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml#contents



They have just changed the make up of their site no doubt to some sort of Adobe malware. One way or another there don't appear to be any storms on that site at the moment:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac&fdays=5



TSR say differently of course:

http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Three storms on there and one of them an Atlantic hurricane on the 4th July. Happy birthday UniStatiA. Going to have to kick you out of my must read sites.



I never liked the CIA drug lords and world perditionists anyway. Now they have soaked in the NSA KoolAid too long it is good riddance.

I suppose there is always Unisys.

Whatever stupidity they have the page opening at at the moment you can get a pretty good idea of actual conditions from a link blow the error prone graphic:
View 2-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac&fdays=2)

Some idiot IT nitwit wants his cranium detesticulated.

On Monday, 30 June 2014 13:51:48 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:

50% chance according to http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/cyclones/?atlc. Of course it may just be an East Pacific increase: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/cyclones/?epac. Come back noon tomorrow for an upgrade.

That Arthur was a fast mover.
http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/?...select6=Script

I never looked at the advisory text (I seldom do) but I imagine this one was moving well over the 6 knots the Gulf Stream would have been supplying down near Cape Hatteras.