Obviously difficult to predict but haven't seen much on radar over S.E
and East Anglia. Max 26.4C here today on a dry and mainly sunny day. All
the action was Friday here really. I imagine the organisers of The Open
at Liverpool are a bit miffed having modified it to a two tee start and
finishing 4 hours early to accomodate delays for the torrential rain and
storms that didn't materialise. A bit of bad luck for the forecasters as
it seemed to wrap itself all around the Wirral but they came in for a
bit of stick from the comentators.

More of a concern to the organisers must be the moral problem of what has happened;
As leader, Rory M should have started his round mid afternoon.
Because of the changes in start time to avoid the forecast (and they did materialise) mid to late afternoon heavy showers/thunderstorms, he was back in the clubhouse by the time they arrived. So if the changes hadn't been made he would have to played through the worst conditions of the day (BBC blog "hammering down"), just as pot luck dictates in such events.
If anybody should be "miffed" it should be competitors who were denied the sole benefit of the more benign morning conditions.

Jim

On Saturday, 19 July 2014 16:01:42 UTC+1, Dave Cornwell wrote:
Obviously difficult to predict but haven't seen much on radar over S.E

and East Anglia. Max 26.4C here today on a dry and mainly sunny day. All

the action was Friday here really. I imagine the organisers of The Open

at Liverpool are a bit miffed having modified it to a two tee start and

finishing 4 hours early to accomodate delays for the torrential rain and

storms that didn't materialise. A bit of bad luck for the forecasters as

it seemed to wrap itself all around the Wirral but they came in for a

bit of stick from the comentators.




Radar showing a whole batch heading NEE from originally Le Havre; I'm afraid that lot will miss SE London and Essex. Unless of course there's been a major traffic diversion.

Dave Cornwell wrote:

Obviously difficult to predict but haven't seen much on radar over S.E and
East Anglia. Max 26.4C here today on a dry and mainly sunny day. All the
action was Friday here really. I imagine the organisers of The Open at
Liverpool are a bit miffed having modified it to a two tee start and
finishing 4 hours early to accomodate delays for the torrential rain and
storms that didn't materialise. A bit of bad luck for the forecasters as it
seemed to wrap itself all around the Wirral but they came in for a bit of
stick from the comentators.

To attempt to predict whether or not thunderstorms will occur at a specific
point 24 hours ahead is a mug's game. The science isn't that good. I can't say
that I'm surprised that the weather evolved rather differently to what was
forecast.

--
Norman Lynagh
Tideswell, Derbyshire
303m a.s.l.
http://peakdistrictweather.org

To attempt to predict whether or not thunderstorms will occur at a specific
point 24 hours ahead is a mug's game. The science isn't that good. I can't say
that I'm surprised that the weather evolved rather differently to what was
forecast.


Norman Lynagh
Tideswell, Derbyshire
303m a.s.l.
http://peakdistrictweather.org

Or even 3 hours ahead it would seem. At approx 14:00 yesterday the forecast was amended from sunny spells to show showers and then a thunderstorm at 17:00, probably based on the fact there were signs of showers developing off Brittany. (At the same time the the maximum temperature forecast was reduced from 20C to 19C, around the time it was 22C at Camborne and 21C at Culdrose & Penzance.)

Not a drop, an afternoon of sunny periods. In fact still no measurable rain since Thursday evening, despite many, many hours during the intervening period when there was an 50% or greater chance of rain.

Yesterdays Max 21.3C
Last night a fresher 15.2C
09:00 today 19.1C & mainly sunny. In fact it's a glorious moring http://www..nci-stives.org/webcam.htm

Graham
Penzance