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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/an....8.21.2014.gif
There seems to be quite an obvious contrast between SSt anomilies between the northern and southern hemispheres. The Arctic is obviously much warmer and continually melting, whereas the antartic seems to be holding it's own and keeping if not cooling. I'm trying to fathom what all this means and why such a contrast. -- Keith (Southend) "Weather Home & Abroad" http://www.southendweather.net Twitter:@LawnscienceEssx |
#2
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![]() "Keith (Southend)" wrote in message ... http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/an....8.21.2014.gif There seems to be quite an obvious contrast between SSt anomilies between the northern and southern hemispheres. The Arctic is obviously much warmer and continually melting, whereas the antartic seems to be holding it's own and keeping if not cooling. I'm trying to fathom what all this means and why such a contrast. I think the answer is sea ice. It reflects sunlight and causes cooling. The reduction of sea ice in the Arctic is causing warming in the NH, and the increase in sea ice in the Antarctic (hat tip to Lawrence) is causing the cooling in the SH. Cheers, Alastair. |
#3
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On Saturday, 23 August 2014 21:20:29 UTC+1, Alastair wrote:
"Keith (Southend)" wrote in message ... http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/an....8.21.2014.gif There seems to be quite an obvious contrast between SSt anomilies between the northern and southern hemispheres. The Arctic is obviously much warmer and continually melting, whereas the antartic seems to be holding it's own and keeping if not cooling. I'm trying to fathom what all this means and why such a contrast. I think the answer is sea ice. It reflects sunlight and causes cooling. The reduction of sea ice in the Arctic is causing warming in the NH, and the increase in sea ice in the Antarctic (hat tip to Lawrence) is causing the cooling in the SH. Cheers, Alastair.. Yeah and warming is causing both........next Oh by the way. How can you 'hat tip' someone you've kill filed...that's unethical that is. |
#4
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On Sat, 23 Aug 2014 21:20:29 +0100
"Alastair McDonald" wrote: "Keith (Southend)" wrote in message ... http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/an....8.21.2014.gif There seems to be quite an obvious contrast between SSt anomilies between the northern and southern hemispheres. The Arctic is obviously much warmer and continually melting, whereas the antartic seems to be holding it's own and keeping if not cooling. I'm trying to fathom what all this means and why such a contrast. I think the answer is sea ice. It reflects sunlight and causes cooling. The reduction of sea ice in the Arctic is causing warming in the NH, and the increase in sea ice in the Antarctic (hat tip to Lawrence) is causing the cooling in the SH. One problem with that idea is that the cooling in the Antarctic Ocean pre-dates the increase in sea-ice. That's one reason for me coming up with the idea that melting land-ice may have caused the cooling surface waters and hence, increasing sea-ice. There's some apparent contradiction if one follows the idea that warm water below the ice-shelf has caused the increased land-ice melt but the cold water is fresh and would lay on top of the warmer, saline water. -- Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks. Mail: 'newsman' not 'newsboy'. "Minds are like parachutes. They only function when they're open". - Lord Dewar (1864-1930) |
#5
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"Graham P Davis" wrote in message
news:20140824104240.20a7abbe@home-1... On Sat, 23 Aug 2014 21:20:29 +0100 "Alastair McDonald" wrote: "Keith (Southend)" wrote in message ... http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/an....8.21.2014.gif There seems to be quite an obvious contrast between SSt anomilies between the northern and southern hemispheres. The Arctic is obviously much warmer and continually melting, whereas the antartic seems to be holding it's own and keeping if not cooling. I'm trying to fathom what all this means and why such a contrast. I think the answer is sea ice. It reflects sunlight and causes cooling. The reduction of sea ice in the Arctic is causing warming in the NH, and the increase in sea ice in the Antarctic (hat tip to Lawrence) is causing the cooling in the SH. One problem with that idea is that the cooling in the Antarctic Ocean pre-dates the increase in sea-ice. That's one reason for me coming up with the idea that melting land-ice may have caused the cooling surface waters and hence, increasing sea-ice. I am not aware that the Antarctic Ocean had cooled prior to the increase in sea ice. Keith was curious about a cold anomally happening now. There's some apparent contradiction if one follows the idea that warm water below the ice-shelf has caused the increased land-ice melt but the cold water is fresh and would lay on top of the warmer, saline water. I was thinking about that problem this morning and came up with an answer. But I have just found this press release from 10 June 2014: Researchers Find Major West Antarctic Glacier Melting from Geothermal Sources http://www.utexas.edu/news/2014/06/1...acier-melting/ But there is another web page here : http://www.nasa.gov/content/goddard/.../#.U_pL66MXNn4 about the ice shelves meting from below on which my hypothesis is based. My idea is that during the summer the surface ice will melt and the ice shelves get lighter. This will draw in salty water towards the grounding line as it retreats due to the lighter ice shelve. The (warm) salty water will melt the base of the ice shelf and form fresher water there. In winter the annual increase in snow fall recorded there will cause the ice shelves to sink and push the fresh water trapped under the shelves out to the edge where it will form sea ice. This fits with Larry claim that the air tempertures over Antarctica are not increasing, and also that there is increase in snowfall. It also fits with this press release from NASA: Warm Ocean Rapidly Melting Antarctic Ice Shelf from Below http://www.nasa.gov/content/goddard/.../#.U_pL66MXNn4 The video ends with them saying "The scientists will continue to analyse the data from these instruments to learn more about seasonal changes in the interaction of ocean and ice." which means they may confirm that it is in fact a seasonal pump that is melting the ice from below as I am suggesting. Cheers, Alastair. |
#6
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One possibility is that the thermohaline circulation (THC) has accelerated. This would result in greater heat transport out of the Southern Ocean (this area would cool) whilst the North Atlantic in particular would warm. The sea ice would then respond to these temperature changes, increasing in volume in the SH and decreasing in the NH.
If this is indeed what is happening, there would be several other effects: a) there would be a (temporary) reduction in surface temperature globally, with increased heat uptake in the deep ocean of the Atlantic, and upwelling of cooler Pacific waters. b) the Atlantic would therefore warm more than the Pacific. c) Arctic warming would be large, particularly in the Atlantic sector. d) The Atlantic would become relatively more saline. Brac |
#7
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On Monday, August 25, 2014 9:12:20 PM UTC+1, Brac wrote:
One possibility is that the thermohaline circulation (THC) has accelerated. This would result in greater heat transport out of the Southern Ocean (this area would cool) whilst the North Atlantic in particular would warm. The sea ice would then respond to these temperature changes, increasing in volume in the SH and decreasing in the NH. If this is indeed what is happening, there would be several other effects: a) there would be a (temporary) reduction in surface temperature globally, with increased heat uptake in the deep ocean of the Atlantic, and upwelling of cooler Pacific waters. b) the Atlantic would therefore warm more than the Pacific. c) Arctic warming would be large, particularly in the Atlantic sector. d) The Atlantic would become relatively more saline. ===== I was reading about that sort of notion earlier on Monday, funnily enough. It's an idea that has traction, and researchers at MIT have argued thus: "The ocean, because of its ability to absorb and transport enormous amounts of heat, plays a critical role in climate change. The authors argue that ocean circulation can explain why the Arctic has warmed faster than the Antarctic. In MIT computer simulations of the ocean and climate, excess heat from greenhouse gas emissions is absorbed into the Southern Ocean around Antarctica and in the North Atlantic Ocean, but it doesn't linger. Instead, the moving ocean redistributes the heat. In the Southern Ocean, strong, northward-flowing currents pull the heat towards the equator, away from the Antarctica. In the North Atlantic Ocean, a separate northward-flowing current system shunts the heat into the Arctic. So while Antarctica warms only mildly, the Arctic Ocean's temperature increases quickly, accelerating sea-ice loss and warming the Arctic atmosphere." http://phys.org/news/2014-08-ocean-c...lobal.html#jCp |
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